Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:45:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x327d…db65
crypto · 367 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$49 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$62 · open +$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$92
Realized−$62
Unrealized+$13
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses88 / 260
Est. fees paid−$16
Open positions19
Markets (closed)348 / 367
History coverage72d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day7.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 19 History 348 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$33
7 days+$83
14 days+$29
30 days+$56
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 46¢ $8 $21 +$13 (+164%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 30¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+13%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 5¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+43%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-2%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 14¢ 16¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+11%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 14¢ 16¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+18%)
Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw? Yes 20¢ 18¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-12%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-6%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-16%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 19¢ 18¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-7%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 22¢ 20¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-7%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? Yes 22¢ 16¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-25%)
Will Canada be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup? Yes 28¢ 12¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-58%)
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? Yes 22¢ 22¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? Yes 22¢ 22¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 20¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $8 +$51 +616%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$14 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$28 +665%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $6 +$10 +160%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +44%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $10 +$6 +57%
Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-10? Jun 09 $3 −$3 -97%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Trinidad and Tobago win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Peru win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 09 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -94%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 07 $2 −$2 -99%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 07 $8 +$15 +188%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 07 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 07 $15 +$52 +351%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 06 $15 −$14 -95%
Will Venezuela vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 06 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 06 $2 +$20 +945%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 06 $6 −$6 -94%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $7 +$14 +197%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 06 $17 −$17 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 06 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -96%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Benin vs. Niger end in a draw? Jun 05 $1 +$4 +388%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Paraguay vs. Nicaragua end in a draw? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Puerto Rico win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Hungary vs. Finland end in a draw? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 05 $15 −$14 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 05 $15 +$30 +208%
Will Guatemala vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 05 $16 −$16 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -94%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 05 $21 +$24 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 05 $8 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 04 $15 −$14 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 04 $13 −$12 -96%
Will Serbia win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $1 −$1 -97%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 04 $5 −$5 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 60% −$133
sports 25% +$57
other 12% +$59
politics 1% +$2
finance 1% −$29
world 0% −$6
weather 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $5 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $3 1h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $59 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $15 2h
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 6h
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 6h
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 6h
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 6h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $2 6h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $2 6h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 22¢ $3 6h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $4 6h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 13¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $2 7h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-19.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 +20.8% +9.3% 30% 30% +47.5%
≤30d 88 +8.1% -2.2% 26% 26% -1.5%
≤90d 348 -10.8% -19.3% 25% 25% -16.3%
all 348 -10.8% -19.3% 25% 25% -16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.3% 25% -16.3%
10% -27.0% 24% -24.3%
15% -34.1% 23% -31.6%
20% -40.5% 21% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $92.47 · official $92.47 (match) · 750 history records