Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:46:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x327b…bdcc
other · 7 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$5 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$63
Realized−$10
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 1
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions6
Markets (closed)1 / 7
History coverage4d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day1.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit43%
Chart Positions 6 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$10
14 days−$10
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $24 $24 +$0 (+2%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $13 $17 +$4 (+27%)
World Cup: Scoreless Team? No 17¢ 20¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+15%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 46¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 25¢ 23¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-8%)
World Cup: Winless Team? No 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-25%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 66% −$8
crypto 27% +$3
sports 7% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $5 1h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $13 1h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 11¢ $10 2d
World Cup: Scoreless Team? BUY No 17¢ $10 3d
World Cup: Winless Team? BUY No 1¢ $1 3d
Will Netherlands reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 25¢ $5 4d
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $11 4d
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $13 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $62.58 · official $62.62 (match) · 12 history records