Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:22:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
32 0x3275…8fa9 crypto 522 markets active 7d ago coverage 13d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (219 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$410 (-5%) realized −$410 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate46%241W / 281L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day218.7pace
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$392
14 days−$331
30 days−$515
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$437
other 1% −$78
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (219 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-15.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 188 -17.8% -25.7% 40% 35% -19.7%
≤30d 522 -6.3% -15.2% 46% 43% -14.8%
≤90d 522 -6.3% -15.2% 46% 43% -14.8%
all 522 -6.3% -15.2% 46% 43% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover218.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.2% 43% -14.8%
10% ← realistic here -23.3% 38% -22.9%
15% -30.7% 34% -30.4%
20% -37.5% 31% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
5.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$10 · ×0.95 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.82 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

13d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$410
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses241 / 281
Open positions0
Markets (closed)522 / 522
History coverage13d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day218.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 522 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 10 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 10 $39 −$39 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 10 $14 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 10 $8 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $26 −$26 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 10 $26 +$14 +53%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 10 $35 +$15 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 10 $34 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$1 -19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 10 $18 −$8 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 10 $26 −$16 -61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 10 $42 +$8 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$4 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 10 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $40 −$5 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 10 $26 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 10 $8 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 10 $56 −$31 -56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 10 $45 −$10 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 10 $22 +$8 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 10 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 10 $9 +$3 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 10 $11 −$6 -55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 10 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$6 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $54 −$4 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 10 $8 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$6 +101%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $0 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $0 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3330 history records