Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:32:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x3252…1d21
sports · 824 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,248 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,248 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$6,248
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses361 / 467
Est. fees paid−$1,667
Open positions1
Markets (closed)828 / 824
History coverage54d
Avg bet$132
Trades / day61.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 828 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17
7 days−$836
14 days−$2,217
30 days−$1,133
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Dino Prizmic 50¢ 54¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Atlanta Braves 41¢ 0¢ $178 $0 −$178 (-100%)
Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm Seattle Storm 41¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 31¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals Baltimore Orioles 22¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Chicago Cubs 40¢ 0¢ $204 $0 −$204 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria Adolfo Vallejo 45¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Team Envy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1 Team Envy 43¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alex Molcan vs Felix Gill Alex Molcan 47¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees No 55¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Alexis Galarneau Roman Safiullin 51¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Rome: Andrea Vavassori vs Pol Martin Tiffon Andrea Vavassori 63¢ 0¢ $198 $0 −$198 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets New York Yankees 40¢ 0¢ $287 $0 −$287 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx Casper Ruud 51¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies Arizona Diamondbacks 33¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Mariano Navone Felix Auger-Aliassime 24¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Arthur Rinderknech 44¢ 0¢ $166 $0 −$166 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 20¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Dino Prizmic vs Tomas Etcheverry Dino Prizmic 47¢ 0¢ $107 $0 −$107 (-100%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Tampa Bay Rays 20¢ 0¢ $365 $0 −$365 (-100%)
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets Minnesota Twins 33¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs Jun 13 $77 −$77 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ben Shelton Jun 13 $98 −$98 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs Jun 13 $274 −$274 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 13 $79 +$220 +277%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $86 +$114 +132%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 13 $82 −$81 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $80 +$120 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $70 +$110 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $80 +$120 +150%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $178 +$262 +147%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $100 −$99 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $177 −$176 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $87 +$113 +129%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $161 −$159 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $167 −$165 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $402 +$166 +41%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $281 −$278 -99%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $156 +$144 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $72 +$108 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $78 +$122 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $77 −$77 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $80 +$120 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $108 +$162 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $82 +$118 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $80 +$120 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 11 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $80 −$80 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $160 −$157 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $89 +$175 +197%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $203 +$156 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $80 +$119 +150%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $80 −$80 -100%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $169 −$166 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $82 −$80 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 11 $80 −$80 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $97 −$96 -98%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $168 −$168 -100%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Hynek Barton Jun 11 $152 +$188 +123%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% −$6,661
crypto 7% +$972
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Dino Prizmic 50¢ $1 17m
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle SELL Jesper de Jong 100¢ $300 37m
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Martin Landaluce 100¢ $200 1h
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY Tristan Boyer 28¢ $37 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 49¢ $50 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 36¢ $36 1h
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY Tristan Boyer 24¢ $6 1h
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY Tristan Boyer 24¢ $6 1h
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY Tristan Boyer 24¢ $19 1h
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY Tristan Boyer 24¢ $14 1h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Jesper de Jong 26¢ $79 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $0 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $13 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $16 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $8 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $9 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 96 +2.8% -7.0% 42% 42% -16.9%
≤30d 503 -0.1% -9.6% 44% 44% -10.8%
≤90d 828 -3.3% -12.5% 44% 43% -14.3%
all 828 -3.3% -12.5% 44% 43% -14.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover61.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.5% 43% -14.3%
10% ← realistic here -20.9% 43% -22.5%
15% -28.5% 43% -30.0%
20% -35.5% 42% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.07 · official $1.07 (match) · 3500 history records