trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -23.4% | -30.7% | 0% | 0% | -25.3% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -20.4% | -28.0% | 0% | 0% | -16.5% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -20.4% | -28.0% | 0% | 0% | -16.5% |
| all | 10 | -13.9% | -22.1% | 10% | 10% | -11.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.1% | 10% | -11.4% |
| 10% | -29.5% | 0% | -19.8% |
| 15% | -36.3% | 0% | -27.6% |
| 20% | -42.6% | 0% | -34.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $5,117 | $4,407 | −$710 (-14%) |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 19¢ | 18¢ | $700 | $682 | −$18 (-3%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 59¢ | 58¢ | $500 | $496 | −$4 (-1%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 18¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+12%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Scotland 1 - 1 Morocco? | Jun 19 | $103 | −$13 | -12% |
| Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $102 | −$8 | -8% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $102 | −$17 | -16% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $301 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $506 | −$20 | -4% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $168 | −$164 | -98% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 11 | $2,244 | −$49 | -2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 29? | Jan 29 | $115 | −$1 | -1% |
| Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO? | Jan 26 | $900 | +$186 | +21% |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | Oct 06 | $45 | −$7 | -15% |