Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:01:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x322b…c833
crypto · 170 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$25 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$20 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$20
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses127 / 42
Open positions1
Markets (closed)169 / 170
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day323.0
Drawdown79%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 169 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$20
7 days+$20
14 days+$20
30 days+$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 74¢ 52¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-30%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +73%
net ROI/market (all)-4.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 169 +5.9% -4.2% 75% 73% -4.6%
≤30d 169 +5.9% -4.2% 75% 73% -4.6%
≤90d 169 +5.9% -4.2% 75% 73% -4.6%
all 169 +5.9% -4.2% 75% 73% -4.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover323.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.2% 73% -4.6%
10% ← realistic here -13.4% 72% -13.7%
15% -21.7% 47% -22.1%
20% -29.4% 5% -29.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.41 · official $1.41 (match) · 579 history records