Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:57:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
32 0x322b…aa0c crypto 54 markets active 1h ago coverage 7d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 7d only
✗ bot/MM pace (488 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$764 (+4%) realized +$764 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -13% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -33% what you keep after slip
Net edge-33%after slip
Net WR17%break-even
Win rate33%21W / 42L
Whale WR50%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$328per market
Trades / day487.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$38
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (488 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-21.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 -17.3% -25.2% 33% 16% -11.2%
≤30d 63 -13.0% -21.3% 33% 17% -10.0%
≤90d 63 -13.0% -21.3% 33% 17% -10.0%
all 63 -13.0% -21.3% 33% 17% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover487.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.3% 17% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -28.8% 6% -18.6%
15% -35.7% 3% -26.4%
20% -42.0% 2% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 21% · top 2 33% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
48% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -13% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 50% (≥$500) neutral
Persistence
early +8% → late -33% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
63.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$56 vs −$30 · ×1.86 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.93 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$764
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses21 / 42
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)63 / 54
History coverage7d ⚠
Avg bet$328
Trades / day487.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 63 Trades
no open positions (9 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $292 −$79 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 17 $574 −$37 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $31 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $578 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 17 $397 −$37 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 17 $578 −$64 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $516 +$66 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 17 $36 −$6 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $224 −$56 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $129 −$39 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $142 −$12 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $331 −$76 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $279 −$23 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $253 +$8 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $327 +$33 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $189 −$23 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 11 $228 +$10 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $554 −$67 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $327 −$65 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $308 −$18 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $602 −$77 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $16 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $307 +$116 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $395 −$25 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 11 $133 −$13 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $480 +$149 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $172 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $229 −$18 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $219 −$26 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $424 +$87 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $253 −$39 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $321 −$5 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $495 −$47 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 11 $208 −$41 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $338 +$40 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $720 +$66 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 11 $275 +$9 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 11 $175 −$35 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $190 −$22 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $373 −$6 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $432 +$60 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $12 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $12 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $12 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $12 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $4 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $4 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $0 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $0 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $4 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $12 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $12 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $12 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $0 58m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records