Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:58:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x3211…9c01
crypto · 172 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,588 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,588 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,588
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses87 / 85
Open positions0
Markets (closed)172 / 172
History coverage16d
Avg bet$61
Trades / day37.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 172 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$762
7 days−$1,064
14 days−$1,436
30 days−$1,588
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $75 −$70 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $111 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $60 +$7 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$15 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$14 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$7 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $18 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$8 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $48 −$16 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$4 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $214 +$20 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $122 −$6 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $71 +$15 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $607 +$34 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$2 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $1,663 −$665 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $47 −$45 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $71 −$33 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $121 −$7 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $90 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $67 −$29 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $31 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $59 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $50 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $23 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $34 +$6 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $20 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $14 +$6 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$5 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$10 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 09 $25 −$23 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 09 $66 +$15 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,586
other 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $11 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $11 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $11 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $11 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $11 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $11 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $11 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $71 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $40 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $41 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $6 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $4 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $9 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $12 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $55 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $41 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-22.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 76 -20.8% -28.4% 51% 30% -28.4%
≤30d 172 -14.4% -22.6% 51% 31% -23.3%
≤90d 172 -14.4% -22.6% 51% 31% -23.3%
all 172 -14.4% -22.6% 51% 31% -23.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.6% 31% -23.3%
10% ← realistic here -30.0% 15% -30.6%
15% -36.8% 8% -37.3%
20% -43.0% 3% -43.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 662 history records