Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:05:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x320b…2d6b
crypto · 707 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$267 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$267 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$267
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)18%
Wins / losses110 / 496
Open positions0
Markets (closed)606 / 707
History coverage13d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day97.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 606 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$69
7 days−$162
14 days−$267
30 days−$267
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +176%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +225%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$18 +836%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$6 +262%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +154%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$8 +367%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +74%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +11%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +401%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +165%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +218%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$266
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $3 22m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 26m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Down 17¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $19 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $3 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $3 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)+1.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 407 +12.4% +1.7% 19% 19% -33.4%
≤30d 606 +12.6% +1.9% 18% 18% -34.9%
≤90d 606 +12.6% +1.9% 18% 18% -34.9%
all 606 +12.6% +1.9% 18% 18% -34.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover97.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1.9% 18% -34.9%
10% ← realistic here -7.9% 17% -41.1%
15% -16.8% 17% -46.8%
20% -25.0% 16% -52.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1249 history records