Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:54:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x3206…11f9
crypto · 396 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$45 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$41 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$52
Realized−$41
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses217 / 175
Open positions5
Markets (closed)392 / 396
History coverage4d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day739.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 5 History 392 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$34
7 days−$41
14 days−$41
30 days−$41
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET Down 76¢ 80¢ $29 $30 +$1 (+5%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET Up 26¢ 20¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-22%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET Up 28¢ 17¢ $6 $4 −$2 (-39%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET Up 20¢ 25¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+24%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET Down 70¢ 75¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET Up 34¢ 64¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+90%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET Down 96¢ 73¢ $2 $2 −$1 (-24%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET Down 0¢ 36¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+0%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET Jun 13 $85 −$43 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET Jun 13 $153 −$11 -8%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$1 -6%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $119 −$14 -12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$9 +59%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $66 −$3 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET Jun 13 $35 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET Jun 13 $97 −$8 -8%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET Jun 13 $53 −$2 -3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $57 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET Jun 13 $93 +$32 +35%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$1 -10%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$24 +300%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$1 -7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +16%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$6 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $137 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$4 +14%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET Jun 13 $76 −$2 -3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Jun 13 $48 −$2 -4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +29%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +37%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 82% −$31
other 18% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 21m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 25m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 26m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 29m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 31m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 31m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 32m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $6 35m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 36m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $3 38m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 38m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 39m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 41m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 43m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 52m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET SELL Down 8¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET SELL Down 9¢ $0 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 392 -0.1% -9.6% 55% 39% -9.9%
≤30d 392 -0.1% -9.6% 55% 39% -9.9%
≤90d 392 -0.1% -9.6% 55% 39% -9.9%
all 392 -0.1% -9.6% 55% 39% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover739.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 39% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 25% -18.5%
15% -26.2% 17% -26.4%
20% -33.4% 12% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $51.86 · official $51.86 (match) · 3500 history records