Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:27:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x3201…27a4
sports · 409 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$1,545 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,545 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$39
Realized−$1,545
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses349 / 59
Whale WR (big bets)65%
Est. fees paid−$322
Open positions1
Markets (closed)408 / 409
History coverage37d
Avg bet$161
Trades / day27.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 1 History 408 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18
7 days−$98
14 days−$743
30 days−$1,545
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Tessa Brockmann 79¢ 78¢ $40 $39 −$0 (-1%)
Parma: Priscilla Hon vs Susan Bandecchi Priscilla Hon 90¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Anhelina Kalinina vs Diane Parry Anhelina Kalinina 85¢ 0¢ $85 $0 −$85 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 90¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Paris: Madison Keys vs Diane Parry Madison Keys 68¢ 0¢ $136 $0 −$136 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev Daniil Medvedev 92¢ 0¢ $92 $0 −$92 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi Tommy Paul 57¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Golden Knights 86¢ 0¢ $86 $0 −$86 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 78¢ 0¢ $234 $0 −$234 (-100%)
Avalanche vs. Wild Avalanche 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovic Iva Jovic 77¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierra Jasmine Paolini 94¢ 0¢ $282 $0 −$282 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 95¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets New York Yankees 78¢ 0¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
Wild vs. Avalanche Wild 94¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Foggia: Carole Monnet vs Tatiana Prozorova Tatiana Prozorova 92¢ 0¢ $92 $0 −$92 (-100%)
Little Rock: Aidan Mayo vs Edas Butvilas Edas Butvilas 64¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Elise Mertens Jasmine Paolini 82¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
ITF Luan: Yuquan Jin vs Lachlan Mcfadzean Lachlan Mcfadzean 94¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Atlanta Dream 51¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Washington Nationals 95¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs Athletics 97¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Canadiens vs. Sabres Sabres 55¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur Jun 13 $49 +$1 +2%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Mia Pohankova vs Tamara Korp Jun 13 $49 +$1 +3%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilic Jun 13 $47 +$3 +6%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $49 +$1 +2%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $47 +$3 +7%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $106 −$2 -2%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $190 +$10 +5%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $57 −$29 -51%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $46 +$4 +8%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $131 +$19 +15%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova Jun 11 $92 −$31 -33%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $48 +$2 +4%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $48 −$48 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $48 −$48 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $47 +$3 +6%
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Timofey Skatov Jun 09 $94 +$6 +6%
Bratislava: Hynek Barton vs Buvaysar Gadamauri Jun 09 $48 +$2 +5%
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 09 $48 +$2 +5%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros Jun 05 $95 +$5 +5%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 05 $86 −$86 -100%
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 05 $97 −$97 -100%
Foggia: Laura Mair vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 04 $97 +$3 +3%
Makarska: Simona Waltert vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia Jun 04 $88 +$12 +14%
Makarska: Elina Avanesyan vs Dominika Salkova Jun 04 $78 −$27 -35%
Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Giorgia Pedone Jun 04 $275 −$101 -37%
Makarska: Maria Timofeeva vs Erika Andreeva Jun 04 $193 +$7 +4%
Birmingham: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Kayla Day Jun 04 $94 +$6 +6%
Makarska: Tena Lukas vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 04 $142 +$8 +6%
Birmingham: Taylah Preston vs Alicia Dudeney Jun 04 $92 +$8 +8%
Heilbronn: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Joao Lucas Da Silva Jun 04 $93 +$7 +7%
Makarska: Lola Radivojevic vs Mia Ristic Jun 04 $93 +$7 +8%
Foggia: Carole Monnet vs Tatiana Prozorova Jun 04 $92 −$92 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $234 −$234 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 01 $90 −$90 -100%
Birmingham: Elvina Kalieva vs Talia Gibson Jun 01 $39 +$11 +27%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $96 +$4 +4%
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds May 31 $95 +$5 +5%
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda May 30 $91 +$9 +10%
Vicenza: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Jacopo Vasami May 29 $191 +$9 +5%
Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Matteo Berrettini May 28 $194 +$6 +3%
Kosice: Dali Blanch vs Sandro Kopp May 28 $95 +$5 +5%
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo May 28 $1,220 −$1,050 -86%
Roland Garros ATP: Facundo Acosta vs Learner Tien May 28 $190 −$82 -43%
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens May 28 $95 +$5 +5%
Little Rock: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic May 27 $94 +$6 +6%
Roland Garros ATP: Valentin Royer vs Novak Djokovic May 27 $88 +$12 +14%
Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierra May 27 $282 −$282 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Kaitlin Quevedo May 27 $93 +$7 +8%
Roland Garros WTA: Daria Snigur vs Peyton Stearns May 27 $502 +$60 +12%
Little Rock: Colton Smith vs Trevor Svajda May 27 $91 +$9 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$1,620
other 2% +$75
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa BUY Tessa Brockmann 79¢ $40 1h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 98¢ $49 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Mia Pohankova vs Tamara Korp BUY Mia Pohankova 97¢ $49 4h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilic BUY Daniil Medvedev 94¢ $1 4h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilic BUY Daniil Medvedev 94¢ $46 4h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 98¢ $49 14h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Seattle Mariners 93¢ $47 14h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 88¢ $44 28h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria SELL Elena Rybakina 83¢ $42 28h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria SELL Tatjana Maria 27¢ $13 28h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 70¢ $35 28h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Tatjana Maria 54¢ $27 28h
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream BUY Atlanta Dream 51¢ $8 40h
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream BUY Atlanta Dream 51¢ $6 40h
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream BUY Atlanta Dream 51¢ $5 40h
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream BUY Atlanta Dream 51¢ $4 40h
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream BUY Atlanta Dream 51¢ $2 40h
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream SELL Atlanta Dream 55¢ $28 40h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 94¢ $94 40h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 96¢ $96 40h
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream BUY Atlanta Dream 62¢ $31 40h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Texas Rangers 92¢ $46 41h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Chicago Cubs 77¢ $38 43h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Chicago Cubs 92¢ $92 43h
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova SELL Guido Justo 62¢ $61 47h
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova BUY Guido Justo 92¢ $92 47h
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 96¢ $48 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 95¢ $48 2d
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Washington Nationals 95¢ $48 2d
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays BUY Tampa Bay Rays 94¢ $47 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -14.4% -22.6% 72% 6% -16.6%
≤30d 236 -1.5% -10.9% 85% 19% -12.4%
≤90d 408 -0.5% -10.0% 86% 23% -11.6%
all 408 -0.5% -10.0% 86% 23% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 23% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 5% -20.0%
15% -26.4% 1% -27.8%
20% -33.7% 0% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $39.00 · official $39.25 (match) · 1381 history records