Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T02:45:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
31 0x31fe…395a crypto 1219 markets active 1h ago coverage 31d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 30d only
✗ bot/MM pace (89 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$312 (+3%) realized +$312 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR28%break-even
Win rate29%376W / 932L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day89.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$169
7 days−$188
14 days−$296
30 days−$721
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$377
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (89 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-20.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 278 -23.8% -31.0% 19% 19% -23.9%
≤30d 1296 -12.6% -20.9% 29% 28% -19.9%
≤90d 1308 -12.2% -20.6% 29% 28% -19.6%
all 1308 -12.2% -20.6% 29% 28% -19.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover89.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.6% 28% -19.6%
10% ← realistic here -28.2% 27% -27.3%
15% -35.1% 25% -34.3%
20% -41.5% 23% -40.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -17% → late -7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$12 vs −$6 · ×2.14 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.86 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

31d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$312
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses376 / 932
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1308 / 1219
History coverage31d ⚠
Avg bet$8
Trades / day89.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1308 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$3 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 +$5 +500%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 +$7 +672%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 +$1 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $18 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $29 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $11 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $3 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $15 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records