Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:32:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

31
0x31fb…edf2
crypto · 2132 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,134 -63%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,133 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$2
Realized−$2,133
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses1259 / 952
Open positions3
Markets (closed)2211 / 2132
Avg bet$2
Trades / day55.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 3 History 2211 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,995
7 days−$1,995
14 days−$1,991
30 days−$1,910
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 62¢ 62¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 59¢ 56¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026 Jun 12 $0 −$30 -9225%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$159
other 7% +$38
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 1m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 14m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 16m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 20m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-16.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 254 -76.7% -78.9% 15% 15% -97.3%
≤30d 1802 -6.5% -15.4% 57% 57% -56.7%
≤90d 2211 -7.2% -16.0% 57% 57% -46.1%
all 2211 -7.2% -16.0% 57% 57% -46.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover55.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.0% 57% -46.1%
10% ← realistic here -24.0% 57% -51.2%
15% -31.4% 54% -56.0%
20% -38.1% 40% -60.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.95 · official $2.00 (match) · 3500 history records