Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:06:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

31
0x31f3…0eac
other · 264 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$7,382 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7,313 · open −$69
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,153
Realized−$7,313
Unrealized−$69
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses106 / 133
Whale WR (big bets)66%
Est. fees paid−$13
Open positions25
Markets (closed)239 / 264
History coverage55d
Avg bet$203
Trades / day27.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit8%
Chart Positions 25 History 239 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$197
7 days−$839
14 days−$744
30 days−$3,780
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will CD Limache win on 2026-06-14? No 60¢ 57¢ $269 $259 −$10 (-4%)
Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-12? No 57¢ 48¢ $263 $219 −$44 (-17%)
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-23? Yes 61¢ 100¢ $117 $193 +$75 (+64%)
Will COD Meknès win on 2026-06-12? No 59¢ 44¢ $252 $190 −$62 (-24%)
Will CSD Colo-Colo win on 2026-06-13? Yes 73¢ 76¢ $160 $168 +$8 (+5%)
Will CD Concepción win on 2026-06-14? Yes 37¢ 34¢ $164 $148 −$16 (-10%)
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-14? Yes 39¢ 38¢ $148 $142 −$6 (-4%)
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-06-16? No 40¢ 38¢ $129 $122 −$7 (-5%)
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-24? Yes 69¢ 100¢ $83 $120 +$37 (+45%)
Will CA Nacional Potosí win on 2026-05-24? Yes 28¢ 74¢ $34 $89 +$55 (+160%)
Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-05-31? Yes 25¢ 44¢ $50 $87 +$37 (+74%)
Will UnionTouargaSports win on 2026-06-14? No 80¢ 66¢ $75 $62 −$13 (-18%)
Will HUS Agadir win on 2026-06-14? No 70¢ 69¢ $57 $56 −$1 (-1%)
Will CF Universidad de Chile win on 2026-05-23? Yes 50¢ 52¢ $50 $52 +$3 (+5%)
Will Raja Club Athletic win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 52¢ $49 $43 −$5 (-11%)
Will Kawkab AC win on 2026-06-12? Yes 26¢ 18¢ $48 $33 −$15 (-31%)
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-06-27? No 17¢ 55¢ $10 $30 +$21 (+215%)
Will COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 27¢ $31 $26 −$5 (-16%)
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-20? Yes 34¢ 43¢ $20 $26 +$5 (+26%)
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-06-27? Yes 62¢ 50¢ $24 $19 −$5 (-20%)
Will RCA Zemamra win on 2026-06-12? Yes 27¢ 18¢ $25 $17 −$8 (-33%)
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-06-21? No 66¢ 76¢ $13 $15 +$2 (+14%)
Will Paris FC win on 2026-04-19? Yes 47¢ 100¢ $5 $10 +$6 (+113%)
Will RS Berkane win on 2026-06-14? Yes 40¢ 40¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will AS FAR win on 2026-06-14? Yes 44¢ 40¢ $7 $7 −$1 (-8%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $291 +$197 +67%
Will US Yacoub El Mansour win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $213 +$186 +87%
Will AS FAR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $201 −$198 -98%
Will COD Meknès win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $8 −$8 -98%
Will Raja Club Athletic win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $278 −$273 -98%
Will FathUnionSport win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $159 +$199 +125%
Will Olympic Dcheira win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $100 −$98 -98%
Will RS Berkane win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $205 −$201 -98%
Will IR Tanger win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $3 −$3 -97%
Will RS Berkane vs. IR Tanger end in a draw? Jun 08 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Difaâ Hassani El Jadida win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $50 −$49 -98%
Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $40 −$39 -97%
Will Wydad Athletic Club win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $197 −$194 -98%
Will HUS Agadir win on 2026-06-08? Jun 07 $339 −$335 -99%
Will Wydad Athletic Club vs. OC Safi end in a draw? Jun 07 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Kawkab AC win on 2026-06-09? Jun 07 $13 −$12 -99%
Will Difaâ Hassani El Jadida win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $36 −$11 -30%
Will FathUnionSport win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $211 −$207 -98%
Will AS FAR win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $7 +$1 +15%
Will IR Tanger win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $27 +$94 +348%
Will Wydad Athletic Club win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $209 +$182 +87%
Will Olympic Dcheira win on 2026-06-01? Jun 02 $68 −$18 -26%
Will Maghreb AS de Fès win on 2026-06-01? Jun 01 $179 +$343 +192%
Will UnionTouargaSports win on 2026-06-01? Jun 01 $21 +$15 +73%
Will IR Tanger vs. Wydad Athletic Club end in a draw? Jun 01 $29 −$28 -98%
Will COD Meknès vs. Olympic Dcheira end in a draw? Jun 01 $112 −$109 -98%
Will COD Meknès win on 2026-06-01? Jun 01 $249 −$246 -99%
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $193 +$334 +172%
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $272 +$645 +237%
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $740 +$231 +31%
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $475 +$412 +87%
Will Club Alianza Lima win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $577 −$569 -99%
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $250 −$245 -98%
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $292 −$286 -98%
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $7 +$3 +34%
Will Club Alianza Atlético win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $12 −$11 -98%
Will FBC Melgar win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $204 −$200 -98%
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $249 +$206 +83%
Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $474 −$466 -98%
Will CS Cienciano vs. CS Cristal end in a draw? May 31 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $81 −$79 -98%
Will CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar end in a draw? May 31 $67 −$66 -98%
Will CSD Colo-Colo win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $515 +$483 +94%
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $80 +$20 +24%
Will CD Palestino win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $399 −$393 -98%
Will CS Cristal win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $516 +$487 +94%
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $64 −$62 -98%
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $206 −$202 -98%
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $271 −$265 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 99% −$7,195
sports 1% −$187
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 38¢ $11 30m
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 38¢ $4 36m
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 38¢ $3 38m
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 35¢ $7 40m
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 34¢ $7 54m
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 33¢ $7 56m
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 39¢ $2 1h
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 39¢ $18 1h
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 39¢ $4 1h
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 39¢ $6 1h
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 40¢ $28 1h
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 39¢ $4 1h
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 39¢ $3 1h
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 39¢ $51 1h
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 39¢ $15 1h
Will RCA Zemamra win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 25¢ $8 2h
Will COD Meknès win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 58¢ $192 2h
Will RCA Zemamra win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 28¢ $3 4h
Will COD Meknès win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 61¢ $4 5h
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-04-12? BUY Yes 43¢ $4 7h
Will Kawkab AC win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 23¢ $2 9h
Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 55¢ $3 10h
Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 55¢ $12 10h
Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 55¢ $50 10h
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 38¢ $4 11h
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 38¢ $16 11h
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 39¢ $4 13h
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 39¢ $16 13h
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 40¢ $3 15h
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 40¢ $7 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-29.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 -63.8% -67.2% 19% 19% -46.0%
≤30d 175 -23.1% -30.4% 38% 33% -18.7%
≤90d 239 -21.6% -29.1% 44% 37% -22.5%
all 239 -21.6% -29.1% 44% 37% -22.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.1% 37% -22.5%
10% ← realistic here -35.9% 31% -29.9%
15% -42.1% 22% -36.7%
20% -47.8% 18% -42.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,153.30 · official $2,153.39 (match) · 1566 history records