Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:15:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

31
0x31f1…5903
crypto · 199 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,901 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,887 · open −$15
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,479
Realized−$1,887
Unrealized−$15
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses109 / 144
Open positions2
Markets (closed)253 / 199
History coverage1d
Avg bet$80
Trades / day2908.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 253 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,887
7 days−$1,887
14 days−$1,887
30 days−$1,887
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 48¢ 100¢ $389 $817 +$428 (+110%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 34¢ 100¢ $198 $580 +$382 (+193%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 73¢ 96¢ $33 $43 +$10 (+30%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 68¢ 94¢ $27 $37 +$10 (+39%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 37¢ 6¢ $11 $2 −$9 (-85%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 29¢ 4¢ $6 $1 −$5 (-85%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Down 44¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+127%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Down 44¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+127%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $217 $0 −$217 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $217 −$217 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $442 −$442 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +127%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $91 −$91 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $60 −$60 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$390
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $6 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $8 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $0 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $7 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $7 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 25m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-28.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 253 -21.3% -28.8% 43% 32% -19.3%
≤30d 253 -21.3% -28.8% 43% 32% -19.3%
≤90d 253 -21.3% -28.8% 43% 32% -19.3%
all 253 -21.3% -28.8% 43% 32% -19.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2908.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.8% 32% -19.3%
10% ← realistic here -35.6% 19% -27.0%
15% -41.8% 14% -34.1%
20% -47.5% 6% -40.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,479.30 · official $1,476.65 (match) · 3500 history records