trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -6.0% | -15.0% | 62% | 50% | -10.1% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -13.4% | -21.7% | 57% | 43% | -23.5% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -13.4% | -21.7% | 57% | 43% | -23.5% |
| all | 14 | -13.4% | -21.7% | 57% | 43% | -23.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.7% | 43% | -23.5% |
| 10% | -29.2% | 36% | -30.8% |
| 15% | -36.0% | 29% | -37.5% |
| 20% | -42.3% | 7% | -43.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 84¢ | 84¢ | $29 | $29 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 81¢ | 0¢ | $28 | $0 | −$28 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $8 | +$1 | +9% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $42 | +$18 | +44% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $25 | +$11 | +44% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $35 | −$35 | -100% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $25 | +$12 | +46% |
| Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 18 | $15 | −$15 | -99% |
| England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $25 | +$27 | +109% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele | Jun 15 | $10 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $70 | −$70 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $60 | +$21 | +34% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | Jun 05 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on J | Jun 05 | $2 | $0 | +21% |
| Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary | Jun 04 | $2 | $0 | +7% |