Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:18:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

31
0x31d6…5732
crypto · 74 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$9 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$39 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$39
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses28 / 45
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)73 / 74
History coverage22d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day8.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 1 History 73 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$22
7 days−$43
14 days−$76
30 days−$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 Under 36¢ 36¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$6 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +81%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$11 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$8 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -3%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $15 −$14 -89%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$10 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -9%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $6 −$1 -18%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $18 −$3 -18%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 06 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 06 $10 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 06 $28 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 06 $14 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 06 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 06 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 06 $26 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 06 $21 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 06 $19 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 06 $2 +$2 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 06 $7 +$10 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$4 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 06 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 06 $3 +$4 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 06 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 82% −$6
sports 9% −$6
other 9% −$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 68¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 33¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $2 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-26.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -22.1% -29.5% 33% 33% -28.7%
≤30d 73 -18.6% -26.3% 38% 33% -16.2%
≤90d 73 -18.6% -26.3% 38% 33% -16.2%
all 73 -18.6% -26.3% 38% 33% -16.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -26.3% 33% -16.2%
10% -33.4% 27% -24.2%
15% -39.8% 22% -31.5%
20% -45.7% 18% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.93 · official $4.93 (match) · 199 history records