Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:36:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

31
0x31d5…2e9d
crypto · 366 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$1,168 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$727 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$727
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses265 / 101
Whale WR (big bets)93%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)366 / 366
History coverage15d
Avg bet$103
Trades / day78.8
Drawdown74%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 0 History 366 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$115
7 days+$243
14 days+$659
30 days+$727
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $484 $0 −$484 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $222 $0 −$222 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $365 $0 −$365 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$4 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET Jun 14 $234 +$72 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $34 +$10 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$2 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $39 +$5 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $369 −$365 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET Jun 14 $150 +$10 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $88 +$32 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $850 +$150 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$19 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $39 +$11 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $233 +$100 +43%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $39 +$11 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $43 +$7 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $116 +$97 +84%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $336 −$335 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $182 +$51 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$14 +72%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$7 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $22 +$11 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$13 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$16 +32%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $98 +$34 +35%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Jun 14 $61 +$27 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $72 −$28 -39%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$8 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $28 +$5 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $1,313 +$19 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $1,393 −$1,360 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $117 −$51 -44%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $42 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $27 +$17 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$29 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $42 +$2 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$15 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $859 +$29 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $143 +$11 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$2 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $335 +$28 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $64 +$2 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $1,932 +$147 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $1,303 +$17 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $412 +$21 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $1,447 +$53 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $70 −$4 -5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $36 −$35 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $28 −$28 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $31 +$2 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$12 +60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% +$86
other 10% +$640
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 12m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $15 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $17 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $17 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $22 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $21 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $21 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $17 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $14 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $15 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $15 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $15 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $16 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $20 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $20 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $16 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $14 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $20 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $21 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $18 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $88 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $94 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $19 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $19 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $18 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $18 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $18 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $17 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $14 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $16 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-4.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 284 +3.8% -6.1% 72% 56% -8.9%
≤30d 366 +5.2% -4.8% 72% 56% -7.8%
≤90d 366 +5.2% -4.8% 72% 56% -7.8%
all 366 +5.2% -4.8% 72% 56% -7.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover78.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.8% 56% -7.8%
10% ← realistic here -13.9% 46% -16.6%
15% -22.2% 27% -24.7%
20% -29.8% 16% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1484 history records