trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -60.8% | -64.5% | 25% | 25% | -26.4% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -66.4% | -69.6% | 21% | 21% | -28.5% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -66.4% | -69.6% | 21% | 21% | -28.5% |
| all | 14 | -66.4% | -69.6% | 21% | 21% | -28.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -69.6% | 21% | -28.5% |
| 10% | -72.5% | 7% | -35.3% |
| 15% | -75.2% | 7% | -41.6% |
| 20% | -77.6% | 0% | -47.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $63 | $43 | −$20 (-31%) |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 4¢ | $22 | $42 | +$19 (+88%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5 | Jun 21 | $87 | +$42 | +48% |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5 | Jun 21 | $53 | −$52 | -99% |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5 | Jun 21 | $7 | −$7 | -98% |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5 | Jun 20 | $53 | +$6 | +11% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5 | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 9.5 Total Corners | Jun 19 | $65 | +$9 | +14% |
| Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 | Jun 18 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 | Jun 18 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5 | Jun 18 | $26 | −$23 | -88% |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 15 | $19 | −$18 | -99% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |