Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:23:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

31
0x31d4…a7ab
sports · 368 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$289 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$90 · open +$199
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,528
Realized+$90
Unrealized+$199
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses165 / 201
Whale WR (big bets)43%
Est. fees paid−$4,608
Open positions2
Markets (closed)366 / 368
History coverage69d
Avg bet$763
Trades / day25.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 366 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,289
7 days−$2,476
14 days−$3
30 days+$4,431
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 61¢ 70¢ $989 $1,143 +$154 (+16%)
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Switzerland 34¢ 38¢ $340 $385 +$45 (+13%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner Aurora 50¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner B8 38¢ 0¢ $528 $0 −$528 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A NRG 30¢ 0¢ $1,170 $0 −$1,170 (-100%)
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5) G2 45¢ 0¢ $990 $0 −$990 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B Sinners 32¢ 0¢ $800 $0 −$800 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winner Passion UA 18¢ 0¢ $270 $0 −$270 (-100%)
Valorant: XØ Ind vs The Rad Syndicate - Map 1 Winner The Rad Syndicate 53¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5) Team Liquid 51¢ 0¢ $122 $0 −$122 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner paiN 29¢ 0¢ $725 $0 −$725 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A B8 10¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 5star - Map 1 Winner 5star 20¢ 0¢ $752 $0 −$752 (-100%)
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner GamerLegion 49¢ 0¢ $402 $0 −$402 (-100%)
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs TeamDk - Game 1 Winner TeamDk 25¢ 0¢ $435 $0 −$435 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner LGD Gaming 27¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Vici Gaming 37¢ 0¢ $999 $0 −$999 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 46¢ 0¢ $598 $0 −$598 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs NAVI Junior - Map 2 Winner NAVI Junior 38¢ 0¢ $228 $0 −$228 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group B Alter Ego 31¢ 0¢ $814 $0 −$814 (-100%)
LoL: Conviction vs Blue Otter - Game 1 Winner Blue Otter 39¢ 0¢ $1,620 $0 −$1,620 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 38¢ 0¢ $437 $0 −$437 (-100%)
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner Nigma Galaxy 48¢ 0¢ $201 $0 −$201 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Gentle Mates 23¢ 0¢ $299 $0 −$299 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Team Falcons 41¢ 0¢ $512 $0 −$512 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1,030 +$469 +46%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $355 −$348 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1,015 −$1,003 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $615 −$601 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $538 −$528 -98%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) Jun 13 $455 +$295 +65%
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs 6666 (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs 6666 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $84 −$82 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $306 −$300 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $276 −$270 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $477 +$523 +109%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $239 +$1,699 +712%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $597 +$403 +67%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $285 −$279 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $673 −$660 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $716 +$1,544 +216%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $285 +$433 +152%
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $868 −$854 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $1,446 −$1,420 -98%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $480 −$480 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $1,010 +$600 +60%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $1,375 −$1,375 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $261 −$261 -100%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $544 +$856 +157%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $355 −$350 -98%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $484 −$481 -99%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $975 +$1,025 +105%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $692 −$686 -99%
Counter-Strike: Banger Gang vs ZOTIX (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Play Jun 06 $692 +$444 +64%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $568 +$691 +122%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $516 +$784 +152%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $245 −$244 -99%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $270 −$270 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $522 −$512 -98%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 04 $366 +$434 +119%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Jun 04 $99 −$96 -98%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 04 $237 −$232 -98%
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Entropy - Map 1 Winner Jun 04 $77 +$32 +41%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Jun 04 $551 +$646 +117%
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Entropy - Map 2 Winner Jun 03 $163 +$74 +46%
Map Handicap: TLR (-1.5) vs Entropy (+1.5) Jun 03 $252 +$284 +113%
Counter-Strike: ENRAGE vs Wingman - Map 1 Winner Jun 03 $834 +$535 +64%
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs TeamDk - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $443 −$435 -98%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualif May 30 $143 +$257 +180%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $1,018 −$999 -98%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner May 30 $603 +$396 +66%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs May 29 $1,075 +$923 +86%
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Play May 29 $170 −$168 -99%
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs May 28 $347 −$340 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$2,870
other 2% +$3,158
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Switzerland 34¢ $347 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 100¢ $1,498 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 61¢ $1,000 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 68¢ $1,030 3h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 29¢ $355 7h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 59¢ $1,015 8h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 23¢ $615 8h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY B8 36¢ $206 10h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $749 10h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY B8 39¢ $332 10h
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs 6666 (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY 6666 10¢ $1 10h
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs 6666 - Map 2 Winner BUY 6666 31¢ $84 10h
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs 6666 (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY 6666 10¢ $0 11h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) BUY TheMongolz 60¢ $455 11h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 30¢ $306 11h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 27¢ $276 11h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $477 22h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 12¢ $239 25h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $597 26h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 31¢ $285 26h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 33¢ $673 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $2,259 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 31¢ $716 29h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 100¢ $718 29h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 39¢ $285 32h
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff BUY Wanted Goons 44¢ $2 44h
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY BIG 45¢ $686 4d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY BIG 45¢ $182 4d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY G2 30¢ $919 6d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY LGD Gaming 12¢ $464 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -8.0% -16.8% 33% 33% -24.8%
≤30d 101 -0.8% -10.2% 45% 45% -3.1%
≤90d 366 +0.8% -8.8% 45% 45% -9.5%
all 366 +0.8% -8.8% 45% 45% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.3 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.8% 45% -9.5%
10% -17.5% 44% -18.2%
15% ← realistic here -25.5% 43% -26.1%
20% -32.8% 42% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,527.63 · official $1,527.63 (match) · 2025 history records