Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:30:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

31
0x31b9…150b
sports · 279 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$11,621 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$11,721 · open −$100
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$11,721
Unrealized−$100
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses151 / 127
Whale WR (big bets)74%
Est. fees paid−$1,683
Open positions1
Markets (closed)278 / 279
History coverage63d
Avg bet$670
Trades / day12.8
Drawdown44%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 1 History 278 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$71
7 days−$1,003
14 days+$715
30 days+$5,364
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 41¢ 0¢ $131 $0 −$131 (-100%)
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage MOUZ 53¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Tundra Esports 73¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B REKONIX 26¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage PARIVISION 61¢ 0¢ $134 $0 −$134 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Monte 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Tundra Esports 44¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Yandex 60¢ 0¢ $264 $0 −$264 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 53¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Tundra Esports 43¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs MOUZ 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs REKONIX 52¢ 0¢ $930 $0 −$930 (-100%)
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs Heroic 57¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B PlayTime 52¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage PARIVISION 57¢ 0¢ $299 $0 −$299 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A Aurora 54¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs Xtreme Gaming 64¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage LGD Gaming 35¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage BetBoom Team 55¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Yandex 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Liquid 50¢ 0¢ $165 $0 −$165 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $51 +$37 +73%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $57 +$43 +75%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $122 +$78 +64%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $98 +$52 +54%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $52 −$52 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $51 +$146 +285%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $102 +$116 +114%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $177 +$113 +64%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $180 −$180 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $101 −$100 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $122 −$122 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $86 +$64 +75%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $63 −$62 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $74 −$73 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $134 −$131 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $127 +$73 +57%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $201 +$129 +64%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $308 +$152 +49%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $20 +$15 +76%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $20 −$20 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $20 −$20 -99%
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 10 $110 +$70 +64%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - The International Europe Op Jun 10 $48 −$48 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $88 +$92 +105%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $67 −$66 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $108 +$90 +83%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $1,068 +$682 +64%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $858 −$858 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $285 +$214 +75%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $200 +$299 +150%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $3,962 −$1,726 -44%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $521 +$679 +130%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $1,050 −$522 -50%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $135 +$115 +85%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $199 +$301 +152%
Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX (BO5) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Clos Jun 05 $505 +$327 +65%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $829 +$619 +75%
Dota 2: Execration vs REKONIX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Jun 05 $34 +$22 +64%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $2,401 +$1,345 +56%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $2,067 +$1,678 +81%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $1,667 −$1,646 -99%
Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Clos Jun 03 $930 −$930 -100%
Dota 2: Execration vs Direborn (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asi Jun 03 $39 −$39 -100%
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Carstensz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Cl Jun 03 $49 −$49 -100%
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Wester Jun 02 $254 −$254 -100%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Poor Rangers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Eu Jun 02 $54 −$53 -98%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Jun 02 $110 +$90 +82%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Inner Circle (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Eu Jun 01 $55 +$35 +64%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier May 30 $2,359 +$1,801 +76%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% +$8,177
other 12% +$3,544
crypto 0% −$63
world 0% −$39
finance 0% +$2
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 100¢ $88 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 57¢ $51 3h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL FURIA 100¢ $100 4h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 57¢ $57 6h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 100¢ $200 7h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 61¢ $122 8h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $101 8h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 37¢ $1 9h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 37¢ $27 9h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 37¢ $4 9h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 37¢ $3 9h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 37¢ $18 9h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 65¢ $98 10h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 25¢ $51 14h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $217 21h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 75¢ $180 30h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 61¢ $7 31h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 61¢ $7 31h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 61¢ $7 31h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 61¢ $8 31h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 61¢ $117 31h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 61¢ $9 31h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 61¢ $21 31h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $102 31h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $101 31h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 61¢ $63 33h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 61¢ $59 33h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 57¢ $28 39h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 57¢ $57 39h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 52¢ $63 41h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 +6.0% -4.1% 56% 56% -21.7%
≤30d 141 +6.4% -3.7% 57% 57% -5.4%
≤90d 278 -5.6% -14.6% 54% 53% -3.7%
all 278 -5.6% -14.6% 54% 53% -3.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.8 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.6% 53% -3.7%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 46% -12.9%
15% -30.2% 42% -21.3%
20% -37.1% 36% -29.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.08 · official $0.08 (match) · 854 history records