trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | +26.3% | +14.2% | 100% | 100% | +14.2% |
| ≤90d | 1 | +26.3% | +14.2% | 100% | 100% | +14.2% |
| all | 25 | -3.5% | -12.7% | 44% | 4% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.7% | 4% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -21.0% | 4% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -28.6% | 0% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -35.6% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $32 | $32 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | Jun 09 | $23 | +$6 | +26% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November? | Dec 07 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October? | Nov 04 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 0.90ºC and 0.94ºC in Augus | Sep 16 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.38 in July? | Aug 11 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June? | Jul 04 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May? | Jun 05 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2025? | May 12 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April? | May 06 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 20 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Lance Stroll be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 15 | $1,477 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by March 31? | Apr 03 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Manchester City wins the Premier League? | Mar 15 | $4,467 | −$4 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by February 28, 2025? | Mar 04 | $13 | +$1 | +8% |
| Will Lauri Markkanen lead the NBA in scoring? | Feb 16 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| Will global temperature increase by less than 1.20ºC in January 2025? | Feb 05 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the Eastern Conference? | Jan 24 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting? | Jan 24 | $15 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Jan 23 | $1 | $0 | -15% |
| Will Coinbase list $TRUMP in January? | Jan 20 | $1 | −$1 | -66% |
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election? | Jan 20 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting? | Jan 17 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Real Madrid win La Liga? | Jan 13 | $15 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will the Brooklyn Nets win the Eastern Conference? | Jan 13 | $16 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Real Betis win La Liga? | Jan 08 | $42 | −$14 | -33% |