trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $105 | $105 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) | Milwaukee Brewers | 61¢ | 62¢ | $13 | $13 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 | Under | 47¢ | 42¢ | $4 | $4 | −$0 (-10%) |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | Over | 44¢ | 44¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5 | Over | 34¢ | 44¢ | $2 | $2 | +$1 (+31%) |
| Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) | Boston Red Sox | 37¢ | 26¢ | $3 | $2 | −$1 (-30%) |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5 | Under | 28¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| XRP Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | Up | 50¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5) | Cleveland Guardians | 26¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5 | Under | 30¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-100%) |
| Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5 | Under | 44¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5 | Over | 34¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5) | Atlanta Braves | 22¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5) | Pittsburgh Pirates | 26¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5 | Under | 29¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5) | Washington Nationals | 25¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) | San Diego Padres | 26¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Spread: New York Mets (-3.5) | Washington Nationals | 72¢ | 0¢ | $24 | $0 | −$24 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5 | Jun 13 | $5 | +$1 | +28% |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 | Jun 10 | $2 | +$4 | +186% |
| Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5) | Jun 07 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5 | Jun 06 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5) | Jun 05 | $3 | +$6 | +223% |
| Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) | Jun 04 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-4.5) | Jun 03 | $1 | +$5 | +525% |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 | Jun 03 | $2 | +$4 | +186% |
| Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5) | Jun 03 | $7 | +$2 | +30% |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5 | Jun 03 | $21 | +$7 | +36% |
| XRP Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | Jun 03 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5 | Jun 02 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 | Jun 01 | $2 | +$4 | +194% |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5 | May 30 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5) | May 29 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 | May 28 | $4 | +$6 | +163% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | May 27 | $6 | +$6 | +100% |
| Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5 | May 26 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5) | May 21 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Spread: New York Mets (-3.5) | May 18 | $24 | −$24 | -99% |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5 | May 16 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5) | May 15 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5 | Mar 25 | $4,979 | +$5,394 | +108% |
| Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5 | Mar 24 | $2,394 | +$2,394 | +100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +38.0% | +24.8% | 67% | 67% | +35.7% |
| ≤30d | 22 | +21.4% | +9.8% | 45% | 45% | -12.9% |
| ≤90d | 24 | +28.3% | +16.1% | 50% | 50% | +84.7% |
| all | 24 | +28.3% | +16.1% | 50% | 50% | +84.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +16.1% | 50% | +84.7% |
| 10% | +5.0% | 50% | +67.0% |
| 15% | -5.2% | 42% | +50.9% |
| 20% | -14.5% | 38% | +36.1% |