Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:20:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

31
0x318b…b978
sports · 392 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$155 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$152 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized−$152
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses193 / 196
Est. fees paid−$22
Open positions3
Markets (closed)389 / 392
History coverage104d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day10.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 3 History 389 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$19
7 days−$82
14 days−$77
30 days−$112
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 79¢ 84¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+5%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 20¢ 16¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-18%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 72¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+38%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Vitality 73¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP - Map 1 Winner NIP 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winner Passion UA 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BIG 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 3 Winner M80 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner BIG 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner paiN 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner NRG 10¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Monte 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B FURIA 64¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A Vitality 37¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner G2 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Legacy 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner GamerLegion 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Liquid 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner Liquid 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 1 Winner BIG 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 24¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs Heroic 51¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B FaZe 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs G2 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $4 +$1 +36%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $4 +$1 +31%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$1 +46%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3 +$1 +44%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $8 +$2 +21%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$3 +57%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $4 −$3 -72%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $9 +$1 +14%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $4 −$4 -99%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $9 +$8 +92%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $6 −$3 -49%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $4 +$2 +43%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $10 +$1 +14%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $5 +$1 +21%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $4 +$2 +62%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $10 +$1 +11%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $8 +$7 +92%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $7 −$2 -28%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $9 −$4 -44%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $6 +$1 +17%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $6 +$1 +11%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $5 +$3 +64%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $6 −$6 -99%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $6 −$1 -16%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $8 −$3 -37%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $5 +$2 +41%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 89% −$162
crypto 8% −$14
other 2% +$23
culture 0% −$2
tech 0% $0
world 0% $0
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 20¢ $5 19m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 67¢ $3 38m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 95¢ $2 56m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 42¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 72¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 89¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 73¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 100¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 94¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 73¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $5 25h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 90¢ $5 25h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 82¢ $5 25h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 67¢ $5 26h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 86¢ $4 28h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 76¢ $4 28h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 82¢ $3 28h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 68¢ $3 28h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 62¢ $3 28h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 70¢ $5 28h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 37h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 30¢ $1 45h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 12¢ $1 45h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $9 45h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 45¢ $3 46h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 36¢ $2 46h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $8 46h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 8¢ $1 46h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 24¢ $3 47h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-23.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 68 -47.6% -52.6% 37% 34% -35.4%
≤30d 179 -23.5% -30.8% 50% 45% -20.1%
≤90d 324 -21.3% -28.8% 48% 41% -17.3%
all 389 -14.9% -23.0% 50% 41% -16.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.0% 41% -16.0%
10% -30.4% 30% -24.0%
15% -37.1% 23% -31.4%
20% -43.3% 15% -38.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.30 · official $15.30 (match) · 1295 history records