Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:45:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

31
0x3183…4d54
crypto · 585 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$383 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$383 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$383
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses491 / 94
Open positions0
Markets (closed)585 / 585
History coverage89d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day11.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 585 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days+$2
14 days+$3
30 days+$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +65%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $101 +$2 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $101 +$2 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $101 +$2 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $27 −$5 -18%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$3 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$4 -62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$8 -38%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$383
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 51m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 53m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 56m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 56m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $101 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $11 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $21 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 16h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 16h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-7.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 86 +6.5% -3.6% 86% 50% -9.3%
≤30d 148 +6.7% -3.5% 84% 55% -9.0%
≤90d 585 +2.7% -7.1% 84% 37% -17.1%
all 585 +2.7% -7.1% 84% 37% -17.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.1% 37% -17.1%
10% -16.0% 18% -25.1%
15% -24.1% 9% -32.3%
20% -31.6% 5% -39.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1765 history records