Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:14:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

31
0x3181…0d57
crypto · 526 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$711 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$711 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Wins small, loses big
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$711
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses463 / 63
Whale WR (big bets)20%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)526 / 526
History coverage111d
Avg bet$40
Trades / day9.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 0 History 526 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$170
7 days−$191
14 days−$191
30 days−$191
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $194 $0 −$194 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $570 $0 −$570 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $40 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $37 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $34 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $37 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$1 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $40 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $40 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$2 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$765
other 2% +$2
finance 1% +$47
sports 1% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $25 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $6 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $19 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $0 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $17 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $34 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $19 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 398 -1.4% -10.8% 96% 2% -11.3%
≤30d 398 -1.4% -10.8% 96% 2% -11.3%
≤90d 517 -2.3% -11.6% 89% 11% -12.4%
all 526 -2.4% -11.7% 88% 11% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.7% 11% -12.5%
10% -20.2% 6% -20.8%
15% -27.9% 3% -28.5%
20% -35.0% 1% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1552 history records