Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:57:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

31
0x317f…3a7a
sports · 501 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$40 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$105 · open −$79
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$105
Unrealized−$79
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses209 / 290
Est. fees paid−$278
Open positions2
Markets (closed)499 / 501
History coverage99d
Avg bet$36
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 2 History 499 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days+$186
14 days+$228
30 days+$109
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) Gen.G 53¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner T1 37¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) G2 Esports 57¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Cloud9 31¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 33¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $20 −$20 -98%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $44 −$22 -50%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $13 −$13 -98%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $51 +$84 +164%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) Jun 13 $7 −$7 -99%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $35 +$60 +172%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $34 +$37 +110%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 12 $40 +$44 +111%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $63 −$3 -5%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $102 −$102 -100%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $34 +$28 +85%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $68 +$40 +59%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $30 +$25 +82%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $73 −$13 -18%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $19 +$28 +145%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $51 +$71 +140%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $20 +$24 +119%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $40 +$55 +139%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $51 +$33 +66%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $34 −$34 -100%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $30 +$23 +76%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $14 +$16 +112%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $20 −$20 -100%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 08 $62 −$15 -24%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $47 +$50 +106%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 08 $25 −$25 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 08 $55 −$55 -100%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $5 +$5 +100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $60 +$20 +34%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 07 $55 +$32 +58%
Will Kamatamare Sanuki win on 2026-06-05? Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $16 −$16 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $19 −$19 -100%
Spread: Belgium (-1.5) Jun 06 $33 +$31 +91%
Will Tochigi City FC win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $15 +$13 +86%
Spread: Paraguay (-2.5) Jun 06 $27 +$29 +105%
Spread: Georgia (-1.5) Jun 05 $35 +$23 +64%
Spread: France (-1.5) Jun 05 $37 −$37 -100%
Spread: Gibraltar (-1.5) Jun 03 $18 +$18 +97%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 02 $25 +$26 +101%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 02 $15 −$15 -100%
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Jun 01 $20 +$9 +44%
Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 2.5 Jun 01 $20 +$5 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% −$330
other 5% +$142
crypto 1% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 37¢ $31 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 33¢ $20 3h
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) BUY Gen.G 53¢ $50 4h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Cloud9 31¢ $13 14h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs SELL XLG Gaming 83¢ $135 15h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 31¢ $51 16h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 Esports 46¢ $51 16h
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner BUY Solary 50¢ $28 17h
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner SELL G2 NORD 39¢ $22 17h
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) BUY G2 Esports 57¢ $7 18h
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner BUY G2 NORD 26¢ $15 18h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY FUT Esports 41¢ $36 18h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL EDward Gaming 99¢ $94 19h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 36¢ $35 20h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 6¢ $5 20h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 98¢ $70 33h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $34 33h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 47¢ $40 39h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 53¢ $60 40h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 29¢ $10 40h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 38¢ $40 41h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $63 42h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL Paper Rex 87¢ $62 43h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Paper Rex 46¢ $34 43h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $108 47h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 91¢ $56 47h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $30 47h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 25¢ $31 47h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 28¢ $30 47h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 62¢ $68 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 +10.6% +0.1% 50% 50% +2.8%
≤30d 110 +3.2% -6.6% 48% 48% -6.4%
≤90d 484 -7.5% -16.3% 41% 40% -10.2%
all 499 -5.9% -14.9% 42% 41% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.9% 41% -10.1%
10% -23.0% 39% -18.7%
15% -30.5% 37% -26.5%
20% -37.3% 34% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.09 · official $0.09 (match) · 1320 history records