trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 25 | -10.2% | -18.8% | 24% | 24% | +1.6% |
| ≤30d | 30 | -3.9% | -13.0% | 30% | 30% | +21.1% |
| ≤90d | 30 | -3.9% | -13.0% | 30% | 30% | +21.1% |
| all | 30 | -3.9% | -13.0% | 30% | 30% | +21.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.0% | 30% | +21.1% |
| 10% | -21.4% | 30% | +9.5% |
| 15% | -29.0% | 30% | -1.0% |
| 20% | -35.9% | 27% | -10.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 47¢ | 46¢ | $145 | $143 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | Yes | 68¢ | 64¢ | $150 | $141 | −$9 (-6%) |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 25¢ | 24¢ | $100 | $93 | −$7 (-7%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 25¢ | 24¢ | $50 | $47 | −$3 (-6%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 7¢ | $50 | $39 | −$11 (-22%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $28 | −$28 | -100% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $53 | −$53 | -100% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $31 | +$41 | +133% |
| Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5 | Jun 16 | $36 | +$73 | +203% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$5 | -50% |
| Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 16 | $15 | −$13 | -81% |
| Spread: France (-2.5) | Jun 16 | $21 | −$13 | -62% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 14 | $50 | +$68 | +136% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 14 | $52 | −$9 | -18% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 14 | $52 | −$6 | -11% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $102 | +$85 | +83% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second Half | Jun 14 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $15 | +$100 | +646% |
| Spread: Morocco (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $21 | −$8 | -38% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $26 | +$27 | +104% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $20 | +$32 | +157% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | Jun 12 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $101 | +$41 | +41% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | Jun 07 | $10 | −$4 | -44% |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | Jun 04 | $505 | +$429 | +85% |