Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:16:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

31
0x3163…a9fd
crypto · 421 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$86 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$86 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$86
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses235 / 186
Open positions0
Markets (closed)421 / 421
History coverage104d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day13.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 421 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +145%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Mar 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Mar 25 $1 −$1 -75%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Mar 24 $1 $0 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Mar 24 $2 −$1 -32%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Mar 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Mar 24 $2 $0 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Mar 24 $2 +$1 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Mar 24 $2 +$1 +58%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Mar 24 $1 $0 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Mar 24 $4 $0 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Mar 24 $1 −$1 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Mar 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Mar 24 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Mar 24 $2 −$1 -39%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Mar 24 $5 −$2 -31%
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? Mar 24 $1 $0 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Mar 24 $2 $0 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Mar 24 $2 −$1 -55%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Mar 24 $1 $0 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Mar 24 $1 +$1 +53%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Mar 24 $7 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Mar 24 $1 +$1 +78%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Mar 24 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Mar 24 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Mar 24 $3 $0 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$86
politics 1% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $1 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $0 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $2 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Down 9¢ $0 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $0 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 10¢ $0 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $0 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $1 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $1 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-17.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -1.4% -10.8% 48% 40% -4.1%
≤30d 25 -1.4% -10.8% 48% 40% -4.1%
≤90d 256 -7.1% -16.0% 55% 27% -12.4%
all 421 -8.7% -17.4% 56% 32% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.4% 32% -13.4%
10% -25.3% 19% -21.7%
15% -32.5% 9% -29.3%
20% -39.1% 6% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1548 history records