Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:37:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

31
0x3162…da1a
crypto · 1058 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$189 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$189 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$189
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses569 / 489
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1058 / 1058
History coverage82d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day26.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 1058 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$99
7 days+$95
14 days+$95
30 days+$95
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) Tatsuro Taira 61¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Talleres end in a draw? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Miomir Kecmanovic Miomir Kecmanovic 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BMW Open: Justin Engel vs Vit Kopriva Justin Engel 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will CA Banfield win on 2026-04-13? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +68%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$18 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$15 +155%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$21 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$7 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$11 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -97%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $14 +$5 +37%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $9 +$15 +167%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $11 +$7 +64%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 +$5 +50%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$11 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$6 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$9 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$8 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 83% −$58
sports 14% −$47
other 4% −$84
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Aurora Gaming 73¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 67¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Up 11¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $8 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $4 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 73 +0.2% -9.3% 56% 52% +9.3%
≤30d 73 +0.2% -9.3% 56% 52% +9.3%
≤90d 1058 -6.2% -15.1% 54% 47% -11.3%
all 1058 -6.2% -15.1% 54% 47% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.1% 47% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -23.2% 41% -19.8%
15% -30.7% 33% -27.6%
20% -37.5% 25% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2691 history records