trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 100% | 0% | -9.1% |
| all | 20 | +14.7% | +3.8% | 75% | 30% | -3.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +3.8% | 30% | -3.1% |
| 10% | -6.1% | 30% | -12.4% |
| 15% | -15.2% | 30% | -20.9% |
| 20% | -23.5% | 20% | -28.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| X Money released by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| DOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15? | May 09 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| US bank failure by April 30? | Apr 30 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026? | Apr 29 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on May 1, 2026? | Apr 29 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Apr 15 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31? | Mar 30 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31? | Mar 29 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? | Dec 30 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia? | Dec 29 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on | Dec 26 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market | Dec 24 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| XRP Up or Down - December 12, 5AM ET | Dec 20 | $1 | +$1 | +96% |
| Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%? | Dec 20 | $1 | +$2 | +150% |
| XRP Up or Down - December 7, 12PM ET | Dec 11 | $1 | +$1 | +96% |
| Will more people travel on Thanksgiving than last year? | Dec 01 | $1 | +$1 | +49% |
| Will Target (TGT) beat quarterly earnings? | Nov 26 | $1 | +$1 | +52% |
| Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November | Nov 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season? | Nov 10 | $5 | +$2 | +47% |
| Will "The Running Man" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomato | Nov 10 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |