Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:11:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

31
0x3131…3379
crypto · 974 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,160 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,156 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$16
Realized−$4,156
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses455 / 884
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1339 / 974
History coverage14d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day253.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1339 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,850
7 days−$3,500
14 days−$4,156
30 days−$4,156
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 47¢ 38¢ $20 $16 −$4 (-18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$5 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$3 -178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$8 -445%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$13 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$10 -154%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$6 -142%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,348
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $13 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $11 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $7 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $13 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $15 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $13 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $33 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $7 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $14 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $11 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $13 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $10 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $7 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $22 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $13 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $21 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $13 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $22 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $13 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $7 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $13 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $7 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-38.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1030 -38.0% -43.9% 31% 25% -23.3%
≤30d 1339 -31.5% -38.1% 34% 28% -22.2%
≤90d 1339 -31.5% -38.1% 34% 28% -22.2%
all 1339 -31.5% -38.1% 34% 28% -22.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover253.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -38.1% 28% -22.2%
10% ← realistic here -44.0% 20% -29.6%
15% -49.4% 14% -36.4%
20% -54.4% 9% -42.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16.38 · official $21.49 · 3500 history records