trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +13.3% | +2.5% | 50% | 50% | -6.3% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +3.3% | -6.6% | 33% | 17% | -8.8% |
| ≤90d | 6 | +3.3% | -6.6% | 33% | 17% | -8.8% |
| all | 22 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 41% | 5% | -8.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.5% | 5% | -8.9% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 5% | -17.6% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -25.6% |
| 20% | -33.3% | 0% | -32.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 23 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Jun 22 | $6 | +$2 | +27% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 26 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 26 | $37 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 25 | $41 | $0 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 24 | $6 | $0 | -8% |
| Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election? | Dec 17 | $21 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Jun 26 | $2 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Oracle buy TikTok? | Jun 25 | $1 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 24 | $19 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Benfica win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jun 10 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31? | Jun 09 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Eduardo del Castillo win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | Jun 09 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June? | Jun 08 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 05 | $19 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1600 in May? | Jun 03 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Mario Grech be the next pope? | May 09 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on April 30? | May 06 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump impose tariffs on France in the first 100 days? | Apr 17 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 16 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 15 | $2 | $0 | -25% |
| Will Zaccharie Risacher win NBA Rookie of the Year? | Apr 14 | $1 | $0 | -0% |