Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:34:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

31
0x3112…c69e
crypto · 429 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$4,276 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,345 · open +$69
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$313
Realized−$4,345
Unrealized+$69
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses183 / 243
Open positions3
Markets (closed)426 / 429
History coverage90d
Avg bet$68
Trades / day36.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 426 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$87
7 days−$619
14 days−$1,820
30 days−$3,236
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? No 7¢ 12¢ $101 $172 +$72 (+71%)
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $90 $88 −$1 (-2%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $54 $52 −$1 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $161 $0 −$161 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $93 $0 −$93 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $167 $0 −$167 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $108 $0 −$108 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $103 $0 −$103 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET Jun 13 $72 −$69 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$14 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$5 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$11 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$25 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$36 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $74 −$18 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$32 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 11 $82 +$6 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$21 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$5 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1PM ET Jun 10 $15 −$14 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12PM ET Jun 10 $45 −$44 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET Jun 10 $51 −$27 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET Jun 10 $13 +$13 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET Jun 10 $18 −$17 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9PM ET Jun 10 $16 +$14 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8PM ET Jun 09 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6PM ET Jun 09 $11 +$14 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5PM ET Jun 09 $29 +$15 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4PM ET Jun 09 $23 −$23 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2PM ET Jun 09 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1PM ET Jun 09 $12 −$11 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12PM ET Jun 09 $25 −$7 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11AM ET Jun 09 $45 +$46 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10AM ET Jun 09 $35 −$34 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9AM ET Jun 09 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET Jun 09 $63 −$19 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7AM ET Jun 09 $10 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4AM ET Jun 09 $23 −$22 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3AM ET Jun 09 $28 +$43 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2AM ET Jun 09 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4PM ET Jun 09 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6PM ET Jun 08 $14 −$13 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5PM ET Jun 08 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2PM ET Jun 08 $13 +$15 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12PM ET Jun 08 $9 +$10 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11AM ET Jun 08 $30 +$28 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10AM ET Jun 08 $13 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7AM ET Jun 08 $55 −$45 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6AM ET Jun 08 $22 −$7 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3AM ET Jun 08 $17 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6PM ET Jun 07 $43 −$24 -57%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$4,276
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $16 6h
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? BUY Yes 3¢ $96 7h
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? BUY Yes 2¢ $57 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $7 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET SELL Down 79¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET SELL Down 79¢ $8 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET SELL Down 79¢ $12 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $13 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $22 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $11 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $29 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $56 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $16 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-18.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 80 -0.6% -10.1% 41% 36% -36.1%
≤30d 231 -5.2% -14.2% 42% 40% -33.4%
≤90d 415 -11.9% -20.3% 41% 39% -28.8%
all 426 -9.9% -18.5% 43% 40% -26.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.5% 40% -26.2%
10% ← realistic here -26.3% 36% -33.3%
15% -33.4% 31% -39.7%
20% -39.9% 27% -45.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $313.16 · official $313.16 (match) · 3500 history records