Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:28:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

31
0x3112…3fcd
sports · 1542 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$97 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$116 · open −$19
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$50
Realized+$116
Unrealized−$19
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1510 / 26
Est. fees paid−$24
Open positions6
Markets (closed)1536 / 1542
History coverage14d
Avg bet$32
Trades / day173.1
Drawdown88%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 6 History 1536 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$59
7 days−$110
14 days+$116
30 days+$116
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Stoiana vs. Naef: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Under 99¢ 100¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Prizmic vs. Hijikata: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Under 99¢ 100¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds? Odd 99¢ 50¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-49%)
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds? Even 99¢ 50¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-49%)
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds? Even 99¢ 50¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-49%)
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds? Odd 99¢ 50¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-49%)
1st 5 Innings Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5) Arizona Diamondbacks 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Paraguay to score first vs. United States? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
1st 5 Innings Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5) Minnesota Twins 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
1st 5 Innings Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5) Minnesota Twins 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
1st 5 Innings Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Minnesota Twins 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
United States to score first vs. Paraguay? No 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 Over 99¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
1st 5 Innings Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) Arizona Diamondbacks 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
1st 5 Innings Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) Minnesota Twins 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Jun 13 $99 +$1 +1%
Rodriguez vs. Kicker: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bellucci vs. Kukushkin: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Udvardy vs. Volynets: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Boulter vs. Vekic: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Kovacevic vs. Mmoh: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Sanchis vs. Boyer: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Brockmann vs. Parks: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Brockmann vs. Parks: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Pereira vs. Gentzsch: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Klugman vs. Zakharova: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Klugman vs. Zakharova: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Klugman vs. Zakharova: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Krueger vs. Vidmanova: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Ruzic vs. Juvan: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Shevchenko (-1.5) vs Sachko (+1.5) Jun 13 $27 +$3 +12%
Brockmann vs. Parks: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Kaja Juvan Jun 13 $99 +$1 +1%
Krueger vs. Vidmanova: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Martinez vs. Agut: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Aoyama/Liang vs Neel/Olmos Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Raducanu vs Rakhimova Jun 13 $74 +$1 +1%
Blanch vs. Fearnley: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
ITF Madrid: Carmen Gallardo Guevara vs Briyana Ivanova Jun 13 $99 +$2 +2%
Bergs/Rinderknech vs. Arends/Pel: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Sweeny vs. Samuel: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Lajal vs. Bu: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Set 2 Winner: Krejcikova vs Linette Jun 13 $30 +$3 +10%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Emiliana Arango vs Anna Bondar Jun 13 $99 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $39 +$1 +2%
Set 2 Winner: Milovanova vs Ayala Jun 13 $32 $0 +1%
Hennemann vs. Avdeeva: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $11 $0 +1%
Derry City FC vs. Bohemians Dublin FC: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
McNally vs. Tomljanovic: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Mazdrashki (-1.5) vs Andreescu (+1.5) Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
McNally vs. Tomljanovic: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 13 $12 $0 +3%
McNally vs. Tomljanovic: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Atputies - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $40 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Atputies (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 13 $40 $0 +1%
Bernet vs. Kopp: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
ITF Varnamo: Henry Bernet vs Sandro Kopp Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bernet vs. Kopp: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
ITF Kayseri: Mandegar Farzami vs Lan Mi Jun 13 $40 +$1 +3%
Adams vs. Yoruk: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Set 2 Winner: Adams vs Yoruk Jun 13 $41 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Atputies - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $40 $0 +1%
Iatcenko vs. Tikhonova: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $41 $0 +1%
Kubka vs. Knutson: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Kubka vs. Knutson: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% +$88
other 6% +$6
crypto 0% +$1
world 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef SELL Celine Naef 100¢ $100 14m
Prizmic vs. Hijikata: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 99¢ $15 18m
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Celine Naef 99¢ $99 24m
Rodriguez vs. Kicker: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 52m
Bellucci vs. Kukushkin: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Under 99¢ $15 1h
Boulter vs. Vekic: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 99¢ $2 1h
Udvardy vs. Volynets: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Under 99¢ $15 1h
Stoiana vs. Naef: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Under 99¢ $15 1h
Kovacevic vs. Mmoh: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $2 1h
Sanchis vs. Boyer: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 2h
Brockmann vs. Parks: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 99¢ $15 2h
Brockmann vs. Parks: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 2h
Pereira vs. Gentzsch: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $30 2h
Pereira vs. Gentzsch: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $0 2h
Pereira vs. Gentzsch: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $0 2h
Klugman vs. Zakharova: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Under 99¢ $20 3h
Klugman vs. Zakharova: Match O/U 23.5 BUY Under 99¢ $15 3h
Klugman vs. Zakharova: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Under 99¢ $15 3h
Krueger vs. Vidmanova: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 99¢ $15 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Kaja Juvan SELL Antonia Ruzic 100¢ $100 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Kaja Juvan BUY Antonia Ruzic 99¢ $99 3h
Ruzic vs. Juvan: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 99¢ $15 3h
Set Handicap: Shevchenko (-1.5) vs Sachko (+1.5) BUY Shevchenko 89¢ $27 3h
Brockmann vs. Parks: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 99¢ $15 3h
Krueger vs. Vidmanova: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 99¢ $15 3h
Martinez vs. Agut: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Under 99¢ $15 3h
Set 1 Winner: Aoyama/Liang vs Neel/Olmos SELL Aoyama/Liang 100¢ $50 3h
Set 1 Winner: Aoyama/Liang vs Neel/Olmos BUY Aoyama/Liang 99¢ $50 3h
Set 1 Winner: Raducanu vs Rakhimova SELL Raducanu 100¢ $75 3h
Set 1 Winner: Raducanu vs Rakhimova BUY Raducanu 99¢ $74 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 824 -0.6% -10.1% 98% 1% -9.9%
≤30d 1536 +0.1% -9.5% 98% 1% -9.3%
≤90d 1536 +0.1% -9.5% 98% 1% -9.3%
all 1536 +0.1% -9.5% 98% 1% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover173.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 1% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 0% -18.0%
15% -26.0% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $49.92 · official $49.92 (match) · 3500 history records