trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +64.5% | +48.8% | 100% | 100% | +48.8% |
| ≤30d | 16 | -1.1% | -10.5% | 50% | 50% | -23.1% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -6.9% | -15.8% | 47% | 47% | -30.6% |
| all | 25 | -14.3% | -22.4% | 40% | 36% | -30.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.4% | 36% | -30.2% |
| 10% | -29.9% | 36% | -36.9% |
| 15% | -36.6% | 32% | -43.0% |
| 20% | -42.8% | 28% | -48.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5 | Over | 41¢ | 38¢ | $161 | $149 | −$12 (-8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5 | Jun 29 | $100 | +$64 | +64% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $201 | −$198 | -99% |
| Spread: Scotland (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $475 | −$466 | -98% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $494 | −$19 | -4% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 | Jun 13 | $369 | −$364 | -99% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 | Jun 13 | $504 | +$360 | +72% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 | Jun 13 | $252 | −$250 | -99% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 | Jun 13 | $143 | +$207 | +146% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $166 | +$183 | +111% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $6 | +$2 | +43% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5 | Jun 12 | $296 | +$67 | +23% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 | Jun 12 | $220 | −$216 | -98% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 1.5 | Jun 12 | $131 | +$87 | +66% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 0.5 | Jun 12 | $233 | +$196 | +84% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $298 | −$66 | -22% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5 | Jun 11 | $200 | −$197 | -98% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $447 | −$439 | -98% |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? | Mar 13 | $499 | −$499 | -100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Mar 05 | $998 | +$86 | +9% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Mar 01 | $1,135 | −$289 | -26% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Mar 01 | $498 | +$495 | +99% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Feb 01 | $1,000 | −$77 | -8% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on February 1 | Feb 01 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Feb 01 | $1,874 | −$271 | -14% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | Jan 08 | $938 | −$938 | -100% |