Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:50:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

30
0x30d9…3ed1
other · 9 markets active 1h ago
5.0score
+$1 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized+$2
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1 / 0
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions5
Markets (closed)1 / 9
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit56%
Chart Positions 5 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13? Yes 22¢ 87¢ $1 $4 +$3 (+293%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 42¢ 42¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-15%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1 +$2 +151%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 44% $0
sports 50% −$2
weather 7% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY 17¢ $1 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 AND Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Hai BUY 13¢ $1 1h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 42¢ $2 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $3 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 33¢ $3 11h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $3 13h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 39¢ $1 13h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 13h
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+127.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +151.1% +127.2% 100% 100% +127.2%
≤30d 1 +151.1% +127.2% 100% 100% +127.2%
≤90d 1 +151.1% +127.2% 100% 100% +127.2%
all 1 +151.1% +127.2% 100% 100% +127.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +127.2% 100% +127.2%
10% +105.5% 100% +105.5%
15% +85.6% 100% +85.6%
20% +67.4% 100% +67.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.76 · official $13.16 · 10 history records