trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -14.1% | -22.3% | 33% | 33% | -4.0% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -14.1% | -22.3% | 33% | 33% | -4.0% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -14.1% | -22.3% | 33% | 33% | -4.0% |
| all | 12 | -15.4% | -23.5% | 33% | 33% | -28.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -23.5% | 33% | -28.4% |
| 10% | -30.8% | 33% | -35.3% |
| 15% | -37.5% | 33% | -41.5% |
| 20% | -43.6% | 33% | -47.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 29¢ | 28¢ | $90 | $85 | −$5 (-5%) |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 48¢ | 48¢ | $85 | $84 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $117 | −$110 | -94% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $32 | +$84 | +262% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | Jun 13 | $54 | +$30 | +56% |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Jun 12 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 29? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on January 31? | Jun 12 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 31 | Jun 12 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 26-1? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $39 | +$61 | +155% |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open? | Feb 01 | $213 | −$122 | -57% |
| Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open? | Jan 31 | $37 | −$27 | -72% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 30? | Jan 30 | $22 | +$16 | +71% |