Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:49:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

30
0x30bd…ae11
crypto · 253 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$144 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$144 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$144
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses95 / 155
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)250 / 253
History coverage50d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day15.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 250 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$6
14 days+$3
30 days−$102
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 18¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$3 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11PM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10AM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12PM ET May 25 $3 +$2 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5AM ET May 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5AM ET May 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET May 18 $2 +$3 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5AM ET May 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4AM ET May 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6AM ET May 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12PM ET May 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET May 15 $2 +$1 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET May 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET May 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET May 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7AM ET May 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4AM ET May 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3AM ET May 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9PM ET May 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4AM ET May 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3AM ET May 15 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2AM ET May 15 $3 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3PM ET May 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8AM ET May 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8AM ET May 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2PM ET May 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6AM ET May 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12PM ET May 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3AM ET May 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3PM ET May 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8AM ET May 15 $6 +$4 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2AM ET May 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET May 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4AM ET May 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10AM ET May 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4PM ET May 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2PM ET May 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4AM ET May 15 $6 +$4 +65%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$138
tech 0% −$3
other 0% $0
politics 0% −$2
sports 0% $0
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-38.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 +8.3% -2.0% 62% 62% +9.0%
≤30d 74 -52.3% -56.9% 24% 24% -47.6%
≤90d 250 -31.9% -38.4% 38% 34% -19.9%
all 250 -31.9% -38.4% 38% 34% -19.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -38.4% 34% -19.9%
10% -44.3% 25% -27.6%
15% -49.7% 18% -34.6%
20% -54.6% 14% -41.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.00 · official $3.00 (match) · 1057 history records