Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T14:46:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
30 0x30b4…b8c4 crypto 87 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d only
✗ bot/MM pace (3378 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL −$81 (-2%) realized −$78 · open −$3
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -15% what you keep after slip
Net edge-15%after slip
Net WR28%break-even
Win rate67%50W / 25L
Drawdown12%max
Avg bet$59per market
Trades / day3378.0pace
Kalshi-fit69%portable
Net worth$211now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 84% +$181
other 16% +$96
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (3378 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)+0.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 75 +10.9% +0.3% 67% 28% -4.4%
≤30d 75 +10.9% +0.3% 67% 28% -4.4%
≤90d 75 +10.9% +0.3% 67% 28% -4.4%
all 75 +10.9% +0.3% 67% 28% -4.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3378.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.3% 28% -4.4%
10% ← realistic here -9.3% 16% -13.5%
15% -18.1% 9% -21.9%
20% -26.1% 7% -29.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +6% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
52% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +11% · $-wt +6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +19% → late +3% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
26.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$4 · ×2.0 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×4.0 per $1 lost it wins $4.0
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$211
Realized−$78
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses50 / 25
Open positions12
Markets (closed)75 / 87
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$59
Trades / day3378.0
Drawdown12%
Kalshi-fit69%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 12 History 75 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 46¢ 48¢ $17 $18 +$1 (+4%)
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 61¢ 52¢ $21 $18 −$3 (-14%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 60¢ 56¢ $18 $16 −$1 (-8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 45¢ 48¢ $15 $16 +$1 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 54¢ 52¢ $16 $16 −$1 (-3%)
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 68¢ 52¢ $20 $15 −$4 (-22%)
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 39¢ 48¢ $11 $14 +$3 (+23%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 42¢ 44¢ $13 $14 +$1 (+7%)
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 41¢ 50¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+19%)
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 63¢ 50¢ $14 $11 −$3 (-20%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 59¢ 60¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 41¢ 40¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-5%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 53¢ 54¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+3%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 49¢ 48¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-2%)
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 59¢ 56¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-4%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 50¢ 52¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 45¢ 46¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 56¢ 54¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-4%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 48¢ 50¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 45¢ 46¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 48¢ 44¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-8%)
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 43¢ 44¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 23 $58 +$5 +8%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 23 $36 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 23 $307 −$1 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 23 $115 −$7 -6%
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 23 $72 −$1 -2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 23 $35 −$3 -9%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 23 $30 +$2 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 23 $167 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 23 $81 −$2 -2%
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 23 $45 −$7 -16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 23 $42 −$5 -13%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 23 $94 −$13 -14%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 23 $145 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 23 $16 +$16 +98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 23 $96 +$5 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 23 $55 +$13 +24%
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 23 $40 +$7 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 23 $91 +$8 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 23 $91 −$3 -4%
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 23 $66 +$7 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 23 $103 +$5 +5%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 23 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 23 $57 +$8 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 23 $67 +$12 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 23 $80 −$3 -4%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 23 $66 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 23 $141 +$3 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 23 $127 +$3 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 23 $34 −$1 -4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 23 $36 −$7 -18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 23 $49 +$6 +13%
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 23 $22 −$3 -12%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 23 $44 +$4 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 23 $75 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 23 $85 +$8 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 23 $51 +$6 +11%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 23 $50 +$3 +6%
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 23 $61 +$14 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 23 $55 +$4 +8%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$3 -52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 23 $36 +$1 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 23 $38 −$3 -8%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 23 $85 +$4 +5%
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 23 $13 −$4 -31%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 23 $69 +$2 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 23 $145 −$8 -6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 23 $46 +$15 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 23 $115 −$4 -4%
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 23 $46 $0 -1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 23 $23 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $2 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 0m
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 0m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 0m
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 0m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 0m
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 0m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $210.68 · official $211.38 (match) · 3500 history records