trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 33% | 33% | -1.1% |
| ≤30d | 16 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 31% | 31% | -2.9% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 31% | 31% | -2.9% |
| all | 26 | +16.9% | +5.7% | 50% | 23% | -14.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +5.7% | 23% | -14.0% |
| 10% | -4.4% | 23% | -22.2% |
| 15% | -13.6% | 23% | -29.7% |
| 20% | -22.1% | 23% | -36.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Ecuador (-1.5) | Curaçao | 38¢ | 38¢ | $44 | $43 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) | Germany | 41¢ | 16¢ | $53 | $21 | −$32 (-60%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15¢ | 14¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $40 | +$75 | +188% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $7 | −$7 | -98% |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $24 | −$24 | -100% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | Jun 20 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | Jun 20 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 20 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on October 16? | Jun 20 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $2 | +$2 | +114% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-1 | Jun 20 | $1 | +$2 | +196% |
| Spread: Brazil (-2.5) | Jun 20 | $9 | +$14 | +146% |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $2 | −$2 | -80% |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $1 | +$4 | +344% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $20 | −$1 | -7% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17? | Mar 18 | $3 | +$14 | +456% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? | Dec 14 | $945 | −$309 | -33% |
| Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? | Oct 27 | $232 | +$4 | +2% |
| Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31? | Oct 07 | $144 | +$4 | +2% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4400 in August? | Aug 12 | $459 | +$5 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4200 in August? | Aug 09 | $447 | +$12 | +3% |
| Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31? | Aug 08 | $543 | +$24 | +4% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3500 and $3600 on August 1? | Aug 01 | $428 | +$9 | +2% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July? | Aug 01 | $777 | +$15 | +2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July? | Jul 30 | $440 | −$14 | -3% |