trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 11¢ | $5 | $6 | +$1 (+14%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 17¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+6%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 50¢ | 48¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 23¢ | 24¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+7%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 58¢ | 60¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 95¢ | 96¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Iran Play in the World Cup? | Yes | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 18¢ | 16¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-8%) |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-14%) |
| Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $1 | +$2 | +172% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $8 | +$3 | +43% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? | Jun 11 | $1 | +$4 | +436% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa? | Jun 10 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? | Jun 10 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +35.8% | +22.9% | 43% | 43% | +26.6% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +35.8% | +22.9% | 43% | 43% | +26.6% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +35.8% | +22.9% | 43% | 43% | +26.6% |
| all | 7 | +35.8% | +22.9% | 43% | 43% | +26.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +22.9% | 43% | +26.6% |
| 10% | +11.1% | 43% | +14.5% |
| 15% | +0.4% | 43% | +3.4% |
| 20% | -9.4% | 29% | -6.7% |