Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:34:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

30
0x308f…e152
sports · 1047 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,235 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,240 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$43
Realized−$1,240
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses587 / 458
Whale WR (big bets)54%
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1045 / 1047
History coverage213d
Avg bet$98
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 2 History 1045 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$28
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 79¢ 90¢ $35 $40 +$5 (+15%)
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage RUSTEC 79¢ 67¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-15%)
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-02-26? Yes 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Keyd - Map 1 Winner Keyd 82¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Mavericks vs. Nets Nets 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner PARIVISION 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffs ECSTATIC 54¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 77¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will India win on 2026-06-09? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $27 +$11 +40%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $3 −$1 -26%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $13 +$14 +109%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 +$3 +31%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $8 +$2 +24%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 10 $24 −$23 -99%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $12 +$11 +91%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $6 +$7 +112%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 09 $10 −$4 -42%
Will India win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $20 −$19 -99%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp Jun 09 $20 −$1 -4%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 09 $46 −$26 -56%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 09 $32 +$16 +50%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $56 −$8 -15%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $96 −$4 -4%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $20 +$22 +109%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 08 $1 −$1 -99%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Jun 08 $2 $0 -5%
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Keyd - Map 1 Winner Feb 27 $11 −$5 -40%
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - CCT South America Series Feb 27 $3 +$1 +21%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27? Feb 27 $2 −$2 -78%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner Feb 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Merida Open Akron: Ann Li vs Zeynep Sonmez Feb 26 $2 −$1 -34%
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-02-26? Feb 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers Feb 25 $4 −$2 -64%
Mavericks vs. Nets Feb 25 $1 −$1 -100%
76ers vs. Pelicans Feb 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Troy Trojans vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles Feb 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs fnatic - Map 2 Winner Feb 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Kennesaw State Owls Feb 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group S Feb 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier P Feb 24 $4 −$4 -100%
Grizzlies vs. Heat Feb 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Belmont Bruins vs. Illinois State Redbirds (W) Feb 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs Feb 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs NIP (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Group D Feb 24 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs fnatic - Map 2 Winner Feb 24 $4 −$4 -100%
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz Feb 24 $6 −$6 -100%
Rockets vs. Hornets Feb 24 $6 −$6 -100%
Magic vs. Clippers Feb 24 $24 −$7 -29%
Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner Feb 24 $11 −$11 -100%
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Galorys (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Feb 24 $12 −$12 -100%
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Monte (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Group D Feb 24 $14 −$14 -100%
Spurs vs. Warriors Feb 24 $16 −$11 -68%
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Feb 24 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - Parken Challenger Champion Feb 23 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw? Feb 23 $3 $0 +11%
Knicks vs. Bulls Feb 23 $3 +$4 +114%
Magic vs. Suns Feb 22 $10 −$8 -74%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$1,412
other 2% +$169
world 0% +$8
crypto 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY RUSTEC 79¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 79¢ $35 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Natus Vincere 99¢ $38 1h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 82¢ $2 4h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro SELL Ben Shelton 51¢ $2 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 70¢ $27 4h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $13 15h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 99¢ $13 16h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 75¢ $10 17h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 67¢ $3 18h
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 80¢ $8 19h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Atlanta Braves 77¢ $24 3d
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians SELL New York Yankees 99¢ $24 3d
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY New York Yankees 51¢ $12 3d
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles SELL Seattle Mariners 91¢ $12 3d
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Seattle Mariners 42¢ $6 3d
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays SELL Boston Red Sox 22¢ $6 3d
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays BUY Boston Red Sox 36¢ $10 3d
Will India win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 54¢ $20 3d
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp SELL Tallon Griekspoor 79¢ $20 3d
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp BUY Tallon Griekspoor 81¢ $20 3d
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel SELL Nikola Bartunkova 30¢ $12 3d
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel SELL Nikola Bartunkova 30¢ $8 3d
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel BUY Nikola Bartunkova 65¢ $46 3d
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez SELL Katie Boulter 100¢ $46 3d
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez BUY Katie Boulter 65¢ $30 3d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Milwaukee Brewers 57¢ $17 4d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics SELL Athletics 42¢ $17 4d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 91¢ $39 4d
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Houston Astros 99¢ $39 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 +0.9% -8.7% 42% 42% -10.3%
≤30d 19 +0.9% -8.7% 42% 42% -10.3%
≤90d 19 +0.9% -8.7% 42% 42% -10.3%
all 1045 -3.0% -12.3% 56% 54% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.3% 54% -10.6%
10% -20.7% 46% -19.2%
15% -28.3% 36% -27.0%
20% -35.3% 25% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $42.69 · official $42.69 (match) · 2518 history records