trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 24 | -2.5% | -11.8% | 58% | 50% | -4.4% |
| ≤30d | 24 | -2.5% | -11.8% | 58% | 50% | -4.4% |
| ≤90d | 24 | -2.5% | -11.8% | 58% | 50% | -4.4% |
| all | 24 | -2.5% | -11.8% | 58% | 50% | -4.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.8% | 50% | -4.4% |
| 10% | -20.2% | 38% | -13.6% |
| 15% | -28.0% | 25% | -21.9% |
| 20% | -35.0% | 12% | -29.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+7%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+5%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | Yes | 67¢ | 63¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 2 United States? | Yes | 63¢ | 0¢ | $40 | $0 | −$40 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 1 United States? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-99%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $36 | −$20 | -56% |
| Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Jun 26 | $57 | +$4 | +8% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw? | Jun 25 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $218 | +$55 | +25% |
| Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 2 Mexico? | Jun 25 | $44 | −$22 | -49% |
| Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 0 Mexico? | Jun 25 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $17 | −$17 | -99% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $10 | +$4 | +44% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on | Jun 24 | $2 | +$7 | +338% |
| Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo? | Jun 24 | $10 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $1 | $0 | +30% |
| Exact Score: Panama 0 - 1 Croatia? | Jun 24 | $5 | +$9 | +172% |
| Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $26 | +$4 | +14% |
| England leading at halftime? | Jun 23 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET | Jun 23 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | Jun 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 Senegal? | Jun 23 | $18 | +$6 | +31% |
| Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score | Jun 23 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $5 | +$5 | +97% |
| France to score first vs. Iraq? | Jun 22 | $1 | $0 | +12% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $1 | $0 | +46% |
| Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $5 | $0 | +8% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $20 | +$4 | +20% |