trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -1.1% | -10.5% | 0% | 0% | -10.5% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.5% | -9.9% | 0% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 9% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 16 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 6% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 19 | $92 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 08 | $93 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 28 | $93 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May? | May 23 | $93 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 18 | $93 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? | May 13 | $93 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 17 | $94 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 15 | $95 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 11 | $95 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April? | Apr 06 | $95 | $0 | +0% |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | Mar 27 | $95 | $0 | +0% |
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 17 | $95 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Mar 14 | $95 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 11 | $95 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Mar 04 | $95 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 02 | $95 | $0 | +0% |