Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:07:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

30
0x307d…9163
sports · 644 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,371 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,331 · open −$40
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$6,331
Unrealized−$40
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses394 / 249
Whale WR (big bets)63%
Est. fees paid−$3,707
Open positions1
Markets (closed)643 / 644
History coverage43d
Avg bet$433
Trades / day76.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 643 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13,572
7 days−$11,410
14 days−$9,680
30 days−$10,291
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 16¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports Challengers 37¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 31¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
LoL: Ozarox Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 1 Winner Ozarox Esports 63¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner G2 Esports 69¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 4 Winner EDward Gaming 38¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winner Gen.G Global Academy 58¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev Daniil Medvedev 81¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 36¢ 0¢ $73 $0 −$73 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Dplus KIA 36¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Spurs Thunder 41¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION 27¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner EDward Gaming 17¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner Team Vitality 63¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 40¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Esports Academy 70¢ 0¢ $122 $0 −$122 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner Dplus KIA 43¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner GIANTX 26¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winner Team Vitality 67¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winner Kiwoom DRX Challengers 73¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Kiwoom DRX 54¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs Leviatán Esports 48¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner NRG 85¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Kiwoom DRX 42¢ 0¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 49¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $50 +$86 +172%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $250 +$53 +21%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $104 +$175 +169%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Jun 13 $179 +$46 +26%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $135 +$40 +30%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $44 −$43 -98%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $124 +$56 +45%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $123 +$33 +27%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $127 −$36 -28%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $127 $0 -0%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $218 −$43 -20%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $201 −$57 -28%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $304 +$203 +67%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $150 +$100 +66%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $143 +$129 +90%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $195 +$23 +12%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $114 −$39 -34%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $75 +$14 +18%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $154 +$7 +5%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $61 +$54 +88%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $185 +$30 +16%
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $400 −$213 -53%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $100 −$100 -100%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $51 −$51 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 11 $196 +$4 +2%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Qinwen Zheng Jun 11 $124 −$124 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 11 $28 −$28 -100%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 11 $222 −$222 -100%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 11 $110 −$110 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Machac vs Zizou Bergs Jun 11 $117 −$117 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $98 −$98 -100%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $521 −$75 -14%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $261 −$120 -46%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $156 −$156 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $179 −$179 -100%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $292 −$292 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $124 −$124 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Partizan Sangal (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss S Jun 11 $282 −$282 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $265 −$265 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $327 +$83 +26%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $351 +$101 +29%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner Jun 11 $266 −$266 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 11 $56 −$56 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 11 $859 −$602 -70%
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $327 −$327 -100%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Pl Jun 11 $316 −$316 -100%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $574 −$374 -65%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner Jun 11 $354 −$354 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $92 −$92 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $300 −$300 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$5,574
other 1% −$797
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 49¢ $136 20m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 18¢ $43 39m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 18¢ $5 39m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 18¢ $1 39m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 95¢ $303 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 78¢ $250 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 16¢ $41 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 93¢ $151 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 19¢ $32 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL KT Rolster 54¢ $128 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster 30¢ $27 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster 30¢ $45 3h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm SELL Golden State Valkyries 95¢ $225 5h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Golden State Valkyries 75¢ $179 7h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Vitality 100¢ $175 15h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 77¢ $1 16h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 77¢ $17 17h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 77¢ $6 17h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 77¢ $11 17h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 77¢ $13 17h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 77¢ $87 17h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 40¢ $29 17h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 39¢ $15 17h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Vitality 95¢ $50 17h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Vitality 93¢ $6 17h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Vitality 93¢ $31 17h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Vitality 93¢ $2 17h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Vitality 93¢ $8 17h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Vitality 93¢ $5 17h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Vitality 79¢ $6 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 126 -21.8% -29.3% 48% 41% -41.1%
≤30d 428 -4.8% -13.8% 60% 48% -16.2%
≤90d 643 -0.9% -10.3% 61% 50% -11.5%
all 643 -0.9% -10.3% 61% 50% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover76.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 50% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 34% -20.0%
15% -26.7% 24% -27.7%
20% -33.9% 15% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.12 · official $0.12 (match) · 3500 history records