trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | +9.2% | -1.2% | 73% | 73% | +11.0% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +11.2% | +0.6% | 71% | 71% | +12.2% |
| ≤90d | 53 | -6.0% | -14.9% | 58% | 47% | -14.1% |
| all | 146 | -13.7% | -22.0% | 58% | 32% | -13.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.0% | 32% | -13.5% |
| 10% | -29.4% | 25% | -21.8% |
| 15% | -36.2% | 19% | -29.4% |
| 20% | -42.5% | 12% | -36.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 57¢ | 57¢ | $30 | $30 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 66¢ | 66¢ | $20 | $20 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 | Under | 63¢ | 62¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $29 | +$22 | +73% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $40 | +$12 | +31% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $40 | +$23 | +57% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $51 | +$19 | +38% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $50 | +$16 | +32% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $30 | +$21 | +70% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $50 | −$46 | -91% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $15 | +$6 | +42% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $51 | +$25 | +50% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $5 | +$6 | +114% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $39 | +$16 | +42% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 21 | $12 | −$5 | -41% |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21? | Apr 21 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? | Apr 21 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 19 | $27 | +$22 | +82% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13? | Apr 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Apr 13 | $19 | +$8 | +40% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 09 | $24 | +$1 | +4% |
| Grizzlies vs. Nuggets | Apr 09 | $23 | +$1 | +3% |
| Hawks vs. Cavaliers | Apr 09 | $22 | +$1 | +6% |
| Hornets vs. Celtics | Apr 08 | $13 | +$9 | +69% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets | Apr 07 | $148 | −$108 | -73% |
| Hornets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 06 | $30 | +$19 | +62% |
| Lakers vs. Mavericks | Apr 06 | $20 | +$8 | +39% |
| Kings vs. Raptors | Apr 02 | $163 | −$46 | -28% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Clippers | Apr 02 | $166 | −$16 | -10% |
| Cavaliers vs. Lakers | Apr 01 | $35 | +$7 | +19% |
| Knicks vs. Rockets | Apr 01 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Pistons vs. Thunder | Mar 31 | $190 | −$65 | -34% |
| Suns vs. Grizzlies | Mar 31 | $30 | +$8 | +26% |
| Warriors vs. Nuggets | Mar 30 | $50 | +$22 | +44% |
| Knicks vs. Thunder | Mar 30 | $50 | +$14 | +27% |
| Bulls vs. Grizzlies | Mar 29 | $50 | −$28 | -56% |
| Knicks vs. Hornets | Mar 27 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Magic | Mar 27 | $86 | +$4 | +4% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21? | Mar 26 | $5 | $0 | +3% |
| Nets vs. Warriors | Mar 26 | $13 | +$3 | +23% |
| Mavericks vs. Nuggets | Mar 26 | $17 | +$2 | +12% |
| Wizards vs. Jazz | Mar 26 | $2 | −$2 | -96% |
| Thunder vs. Celtics | Mar 26 | $10 | −$8 | -80% |
| Heat vs. Cavaliers | Mar 26 | $10 | +$17 | +167% |
| Nuggets vs. Suns | Mar 25 | $10 | +$5 | +52% |
| Warriors vs. Mavericks | Mar 24 | $30 | +$3 | +10% |
| Bucks vs. Clippers | Mar 24 | $5 | −$5 | -93% |
| Rockets vs. Bulls | Mar 24 | $10 | −$9 | -87% |
| Pacers vs. Magic | Mar 24 | $10 | −$5 | -51% |
| Raptors vs. Suns | Mar 23 | $10 | −$7 | -70% |