Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:13:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

30
0x305f…ea82
crypto · 393 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$87 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$87 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$87
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses233 / 160
Open positions0
Markets (closed)393 / 393
History coverage30d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day19.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 393 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15
7 days−$48
14 days−$57
30 days−$87
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 09 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 09 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 09 $7 +$3 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 09 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 09 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 09 $7 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$86
tech 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 78 -14.5% -22.6% 53% 53% -23.6%
≤30d 393 -3.6% -12.8% 59% 59% -13.9%
≤90d 393 -3.6% -12.8% 59% 59% -13.9%
all 393 -3.6% -12.8% 59% 59% -13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.8% 59% -13.9%
10% -21.1% 56% -22.1%
15% -28.8% 50% -29.7%
20% -35.7% 37% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 815 history records