Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:05:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
30 0x3054…a324 crypto 141 markets active 2d ago coverage 7d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$173 (-25%) realized −$173 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -19% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -38% what you keep after slip
Net edge-38%after slip
Net WR46%break-even
Win rate47%66W / 74L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day21.5pace
Kalshi-fit60%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$161
14 days−$179
30 days−$179
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 57% −$102
other 43% −$77
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-26.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 120 -18.4% -26.2% 48% 48% -33.8%
≤30d 140 -18.9% -26.6% 47% 46% -33.3%
≤90d 140 -18.9% -26.6% 47% 46% -33.3%
all 140 -18.9% -26.6% 47% 46% -33.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover21.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.6% 46% -33.3%
10% ← realistic here -33.7% 46% -39.7%
15% -40.1% 46% -45.5%
20% -45.9% 44% -50.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -26% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -19% · $-wt -26% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -13% → late -25% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$5 · ×0.59 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.52 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$173
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses66 / 74
Open positions0
Markets (closed)140 / 141
History coverage7d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day21.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 140 Trades
no open positions (74 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +70%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $12 −$11 -95%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$9 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -96%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +70%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +79%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +97%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +110%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$4 +52%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$15 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -96%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -95%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$6 +76%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$11 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +52%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$5 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +48%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +52%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +65%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +67%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 2d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $12 2d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 2d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 2d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $7 2d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $9 2d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 2d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 2d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $7 2d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $16 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $9 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $3 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $4 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $12 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $8 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 219 history records