Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:28:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

30
0x3051…c974
crypto · 44 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$13 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses25 / 19
Open positions0
Markets (closed)44 / 44
History coverage3d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day28.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 44 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days−$13
14 days−$13
30 days−$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$16 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$14 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$4 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$13 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 10 $13 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$6 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 10 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$13 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $21 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 09 $6 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$3 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$2 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$5 +149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $7 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $7 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $10 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $10 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $11 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $3 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $4 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 34¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Up 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 38¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 4¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $17 42h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 -3.8% -12.9% 57% 52% -13.1%
≤30d 44 -3.8% -12.9% 57% 52% -13.1%
≤90d 44 -3.8% -12.9% 57% 52% -13.1%
all 44 -3.8% -12.9% 57% 52% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.9% 52% -13.1%
10% ← realistic here -21.3% 48% -21.4%
15% -28.9% 39% -29.0%
20% -35.8% 23% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 90 history records